Trader consensus favors state Sen. Mallory McMorrow at 51.5% implied probability to win Michigan's Democratic Senate primary for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Gary Peters, propelled by her campaign's March 19-22 internal poll showing a 30-25-23 lead over Abdul El-Sayed and Rep. Haley Stevens among likely voters, alongside high favorability ratings and leading ActBlue fundraising with $1.22 million from 55,000 donors. Sen. Elizabeth Warren's March 18 endorsement bolstered her momentum, while Stevens trails at 12.5% amid declining poll shares and a Moderate Democrats endorsement. El-Sayed holds 36.5% on progressive appeal despite no major recent breakthroughs. The August 4 primary remains fluid with undecideds at 20-26% in recent surveys.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель первичных выборов в Сенат от Демократической партии Мичигана
Победитель первичных выборов в Сенат от Демократической партии Мичигана
Мэллори МакМорроу 54%
Абдул Эль-Сайед 34%
Хейли Стивенс 14%
Рашида Тлаиб <1%
$225,077 Объем
$225,077 Объем
Мэллори МакМорроу
54%
Абдул Эль-Сайед
34%
Хейли Стивенс
14%
Рашида Тлаиб
<1%
Сара Энтони
<1%
Мэтт Сар
<1%
Кристен Макдональд Ривет
<1%
Дана Нессел
<1%
Энди Левин
<1%
Мэллори МакМорроу 54%
Абдул Эль-Сайед 34%
Хейли Стивенс 14%
Рашида Тлаиб <1%
$225,077 Объем
$225,077 Объем
Мэллори МакМорроу
54%
Абдул Эль-Сайед
34%
Хейли Стивенс
14%
Рашида Тлаиб
<1%
Сара Энтони
<1%
Мэтт Сар
<1%
Кристен Макдональд Ривет
<1%
Дана Нессел
<1%
Энди Левин
<1%
If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors state Sen. Mallory McMorrow at 51.5% implied probability to win Michigan's Democratic Senate primary for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Gary Peters, propelled by her campaign's March 19-22 internal poll showing a 30-25-23 lead over Abdul El-Sayed and Rep. Haley Stevens among likely voters, alongside high favorability ratings and leading ActBlue fundraising with $1.22 million from 55,000 donors. Sen. Elizabeth Warren's March 18 endorsement bolstered her momentum, while Stevens trails at 12.5% amid declining poll shares and a Moderate Democrats endorsement. El-Sayed holds 36.5% on progressive appeal despite no major recent breakthroughs. The August 4 primary remains fluid with undecideds at 20-26% in recent surveys.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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