SpaceX's confidential IPO filing on April 1 has driven its Yes probability to a market-leading 95%, signaling strong trader consensus for a blockbuster listing before year-end, fueled by Starlink's subscriber surge and the recent xAI merger enhancing its AI-space synergy. Cerebras follows at 90% amid booming demand for its AI wafer-scale chips, while Discord sits at 63% on persistent gaming platform growth rumors. Lower odds for AI labs like Anthropic (45%) and OpenAI (38%) reflect unconfirmed timelines despite massive valuations, with Databricks and Stripe around 30% amid fintech-data competitive pressures. Traders eye upcoming S-1 disclosures, Q2 earnings, and regulatory hurdles like FAA approvals as key catalysts in a revitalizing IPO environment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоIPO до 2027 года?
IPO до 2027 года?
$5,309,538 Объем

SpaceX
94%

Cerebras
89%

Discord
62%

WHOOP
46%

Антропик
44%

OpenAI
38%

Deel
36%

Ledger
36%

Databricks
31%

SHEIN
28%

Canva
26%

Удалённое
23%

ByteDance
23%

Anduril Industries
22%

Glean
20%

Vanta
20%

Applied Intuition
20%

Anysphere (Cursor)
20%

Revolut
19%

Anduril
19%

Epic Games
19%

Ripple Labs
18%

Waymo
17%

Stripe
17%

Celonis
16%

Freddie Mac
16%

Mistral AI
16%

Fannie Mae
15%

Ramp
13%

Rippling
12%

Brex
7%
$5,309,538 Объем

SpaceX
94%

Cerebras
89%

Discord
62%

WHOOP
46%

Антропик
44%

OpenAI
38%

Deel
36%

Ledger
36%

Databricks
31%

SHEIN
28%

Canva
26%

Удалённое
23%

ByteDance
23%

Anduril Industries
22%

Glean
20%

Vanta
20%

Applied Intuition
20%

Anysphere (Cursor)
20%

Revolut
19%

Anduril
19%

Epic Games
19%

Ripple Labs
18%

Waymo
17%

Stripe
17%

Celonis
16%

Freddie Mac
16%

Mistral AI
16%

Fannie Mae
15%

Ramp
13%

Rippling
12%

Brex
7%
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX's confidential IPO filing on April 1 has driven its Yes probability to a market-leading 95%, signaling strong trader consensus for a blockbuster listing before year-end, fueled by Starlink's subscriber surge and the recent xAI merger enhancing its AI-space synergy. Cerebras follows at 90% amid booming demand for its AI wafer-scale chips, while Discord sits at 63% on persistent gaming platform growth rumors. Lower odds for AI labs like Anthropic (45%) and OpenAI (38%) reflect unconfirmed timelines despite massive valuations, with Databricks and Stripe around 30% amid fintech-data competitive pressures. Traders eye upcoming S-1 disclosures, Q2 earnings, and regulatory hurdles like FAA approvals as key catalysts in a revitalizing IPO environment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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