Incumbent Democrat Frank Mrvan's bid for a fourth term drives the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party in Indiana's 1st Congressional District, a competitive D+1 battleground where he narrowly won reelection in 2024 with 53.4% against Republican Randy Niemeyer. Recent filing deadline developments on February 6 solidified a mild Democratic primary challenge from LaVetta Sparks-Wade, while the Republican field—Barb Regnitz, David Ben Ruiz, and James Schenke—lacks a proven heavyweight after Jennifer-Ruth Green's early February withdrawal, fragmenting GOP efforts despite Regnitz's leading fundraising. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Democratic ahead of the May 5 primaries, underscoring incumbency edge and historical hold patterns in this northwest Indiana district reliant on manufacturing and steel jobs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоIN-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
IN-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Демократическая партия
75%
Республиканская партия
20%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Демократическая партия
$53 Объем
75%
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Mrvan's bid for a fourth term drives the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party in Indiana's 1st Congressional District, a competitive D+1 battleground where he narrowly won reelection in 2024 with 53.4% against Republican Randy Niemeyer. Recent filing deadline developments on February 6 solidified a mild Democratic primary challenge from LaVetta Sparks-Wade, while the Republican field—Barb Regnitz, David Ben Ruiz, and James Schenke—lacks a proven heavyweight after Jennifer-Ruth Green's early February withdrawal, fragmenting GOP efforts despite Regnitz's leading fundraising. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Democratic ahead of the May 5 primaries, underscoring incumbency edge and historical hold patterns in this northwest Indiana district reliant on manufacturing and steel jobs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Объем
$53Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Mrvan's bid for a fourth term drives the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party in Indiana's 1st Congressional District, a competitive D+1 battleground where he narrowly won reelection in 2024 with 53.4% against Republican Randy Niemeyer. Recent filing deadline developments on February 6 solidified a mild Democratic primary challenge from LaVetta Sparks-Wade, while the Republican field—Barb Regnitz, David Ben Ruiz, and James Schenke—lacks a proven heavyweight after Jennifer-Ruth Green's early February withdrawal, fragmenting GOP efforts despite Regnitz's leading fundraising. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Democratic ahead of the May 5 primaries, underscoring incumbency edge and historical hold patterns in this northwest Indiana district reliant on manufacturing and steel jobs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$53Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Frank Mrvan's bid for a fourth term drives the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party in Indiana's 1st Congressional District, a competitive D+1 battleground where he narrowly won reelection in 2024 with 53.4% against Republican Randy Niemeyer. Recent filing deadline developments on February 6 solidified a mild Democratic primary challenge from LaVetta Sparks-Wade, while the Republican field—Barb Regnitz, David Ben Ruiz, and James Schenke—lacks a proven heavyweight after Jennifer-Ruth Green's early February withdrawal, fragmenting GOP efforts despite Regnitz's leading fundraising. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Democratic ahead of the May 5 primaries, underscoring incumbency edge and historical hold patterns in this northwest Indiana district reliant on manufacturing and steel jobs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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