Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 2 near 13°C, as a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe delivers mild continental air masses with partly cloudy skies and light winds, elevating trader-implied probabilities for mid-teens outcomes. This consensus, refined in the past 24 hours' model runs, reflects an ensemble mean around 13°C amid early April climatological highs of 11–12°C, with spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover thickness and timing of any weak fronts that could cap solar heating at 12°C or allow 16°C+ if skies clear more than expected. IMGW observations and fresh ECMWF updates expected daily will clarify boundary layer dynamics ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 2?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 2?
13°C 30%
12°C 21%
10°C 18.6%
11°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
10%
9°C
12%
10°C
19%
11°C
18%
12°C
21%
13°C
30%
14°C
17%
15°C
16%
16°C or higher
17%
13°C 30%
12°C 21%
10°C 18.6%
11°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
6°C or below
$228 Объем
1%
7°C
$218 Объем
1%
8°C
$5 Объем
10%
9°C
$1 Объем
12%
10°C
$0 Объем
19%
11°C
$0 Объем
18%
12°C
$0 Объем
21%
13°C
$11 Объем
30%
14°C
$0 Объем
17%
15°C
$1 Объем
16%
16°C or higher
$5 Объем
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 2 near 13°C, as a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe delivers mild continental air masses with partly cloudy skies and light winds, elevating trader-implied probabilities for mid-teens outcomes. This consensus, refined in the past 24 hours' model runs, reflects an ensemble mean around 13°C amid early April climatological highs of 11–12°C, with spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover thickness and timing of any weak fronts that could cap solar heating at 12°C or allow 16°C+ if skies clear more than expected. IMGW observations and fresh ECMWF updates expected daily will clarify boundary layer dynamics ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Объем
$470Дата окончания
Apr 2, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 2 near 13°C, as a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe delivers mild continental air masses with partly cloudy skies and light winds, elevating trader-implied probabilities for mid-teens outcomes. This consensus, refined in the past 24 hours' model runs, reflects an ensemble mean around 13°C amid early April climatological highs of 11–12°C, with spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover thickness and timing of any weak fronts that could cap solar heating at 12°C or allow 16°C+ if skies clear more than expected. IMGW observations and fresh ECMWF updates expected daily will clarify boundary layer dynamics ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$470Дата окончания
Apr 2, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 2 near 13°C, as a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe delivers mild continental air masses with partly cloudy skies and light winds, elevating trader-implied probabilities for mid-teens outcomes. This consensus, refined in the past 24 hours' model runs, reflects an ensemble mean around 13°C amid early April climatological highs of 11–12°C, with spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover thickness and timing of any weak fronts that could cap solar heating at 12°C or allow 16°C+ if skies clear more than expected. IMGW observations and fresh ECMWF updates expected daily will clarify boundary layer dynamics ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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