Market icon

Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 1?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 1?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

12°C or higher 67%

11°C 23%

9°C 12%

10°C 9%

Polymarket
NEW

12°C or higher 67%

11°C 23%

9°C 12%

10°C 9%

Polymarket
NEW

2°C or below

$194 Объем

1%

3°C

$140 Объем

1%

4°C

$150 Объем

1%

5°C

$229 Объем

1%

6°C

$225 Объем

1%

7°C

$6 Объем

9%

8°C

$2 Объем

8%

9°C

$0 Объем

12%

10°C

$6 Объем

9%

11°C

$0 Объем

23%

12°C or higher

$70 Объем

67%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), corroborated by Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW), project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 1 at 12–14°C under mild southerly flow and building high pressure, fueling the 65% market-implied odds for 12°C or higher as trader consensus on a typical early spring day.** This positioning reflects convergence in the past 24 hours' model runs, which shifted warmer from prior cooler outlooks amid recent stabilization after late March variability. Climatological averages hover near 11–12°C for April 1, with outcomes like 11°C (24%) and 10°C (11.5%) viable if cloud cover increases or northerly winds persist. Inherent short-range uncertainty remains, with daily updates from IMGW and ECMWF expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution using official Chopin Airport observations.

**Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), corroborated by Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW), project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 1 at 12–14°C under mild southerly flow and building high pressure, fueling the 65% market-implied odds for 12°C or higher as trader consensus on a typical early spring day.** This positioning reflects convergence in the past 24 hours' model runs, which shifted warmer from prior cooler outlooks amid recent stabilization after late March variability. Climatological averages hover near 11–12°C for April 1, with outcomes like 11°C (24%) and 10°C (11.5%) viable if cloud cover increases or northerly winds persist. Inherent short-range uncertainty remains, with daily updates from IMGW and ECMWF expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution using official Chopin Airport observations.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), corroborated by Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW), project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 1 at 12–14°C under mild southerly flow and building high pressure, fueling the 65% market-implied odds for 12°C or higher as trader consensus on a typical early spring day.** This positioning reflects convergence in the past 24 hours' model runs, which shifted warmer from prior cooler outlooks amid recent stabilization after late March variability. Climatological averages hover near 11–12°C for April 1, with outcomes like 11°C (24%) and 10°C (11.5%) viable if cloud cover increases or northerly winds persist. Inherent short-range uncertainty remains, with daily updates from IMGW and ECMWF expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution using official Chopin Airport observations.

**Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), corroborated by Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW), project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 1 at 12–14°C under mild southerly flow and building high pressure, fueling the 65% market-implied odds for 12°C or higher as trader consensus on a typical early spring day.** This positioning reflects convergence in the past 24 hours' model runs, which shifted warmer from prior cooler outlooks amid recent stabilization after late March variability. Climatological averages hover near 11–12°C for April 1, with outcomes like 11°C (24%) and 10°C (11.5%) viable if cloud cover increases or northerly winds persist. Inherent short-range uncertainty remains, with daily updates from IMGW and ECMWF expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution using official Chopin Airport observations.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 1?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «12°C or higher» с 67%, за ним следует «11°C» с 23%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 67¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 67%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 1?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Mar 29, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 1?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 1?» — «12°C or higher» с 67%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 67%. Следующий ближайший исход — «11°C» с 23%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 1?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.