Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 22°C in Tel Aviv on March 20, driven by converged forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs stabilizing around 22°C amid mild Mediterranean airflow and light northeasterly winds. Historical March data for Tel Aviv shows average highs of 20-22°C, with current ensemble predictions exhibiting low spread (standard deviation under 1°C), reinforcing this positioning based on verified upper-air patterns and sea surface temperatures. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen shift to warmer southerlies boosting temps to 23°C+, though synoptic charts indicate minimal risk as high-pressure dominance persists into resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 20?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 20?
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$54,976 Объем
$54,976 Объем
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$54,976 Объем
$54,976 Объем
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ben Gurion Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 16, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 22°C in Tel Aviv on March 20, driven by converged forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs stabilizing around 22°C amid mild Mediterranean airflow and light northeasterly winds. Historical March data for Tel Aviv shows average highs of 20-22°C, with current ensemble predictions exhibiting low spread (standard deviation under 1°C), reinforcing this positioning based on verified upper-air patterns and sea surface temperatures. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen shift to warmer southerlies boosting temps to 23°C+, though synoptic charts indicate minimal risk as high-pressure dominance persists into resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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