Trader sentiment for Taipei's highest temperature on March 19 hinges on ensemble weather models from the Central Weather Administration (CWA) and ECMWF, projecting a tight range of 22-24°C amid a passing cool front from mainland China. The 23°C lead (35%) reflects the consensus mean, bolstered by recent GFS updates showing slight warming under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds capping peaks. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—more overcast favors 22°C (29%), clearer intervals boost 24°C (25%)—against March historical highs averaging 22.5°C. Short-range uncertainty persists as frontal decay could swing diurnal maxima by 1-2°C before resolution via official observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on March 19?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 19?
23°C 39%
24°C 25%
22°C 15.7%
21°C 2.3%
$12,712 Объем
$12,712 Объем
21°C
2%
22°C
25%
23°C
39%
24°C
25%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
2%
23°C 39%
24°C 25%
22°C 15.7%
21°C 2.3%
$12,712 Объем
$12,712 Объем
21°C
2%
22°C
25%
23°C
39%
24°C
25%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Taipei Central Weather Administration, specifically the highest reading under the "Temperature" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/C/W/OBS_Station.html?ID=46692
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Taipei's highest temperature on March 19 hinges on ensemble weather models from the Central Weather Administration (CWA) and ECMWF, projecting a tight range of 22-24°C amid a passing cool front from mainland China. The 23°C lead (35%) reflects the consensus mean, bolstered by recent GFS updates showing slight warming under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds capping peaks. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—more overcast favors 22°C (29%), clearer intervals boost 24°C (25%)—against March historical highs averaging 22.5°C. Short-range uncertainty persists as frontal decay could swing diurnal maxima by 1-2°C before resolution via official observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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