Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high temperature clustering around 18°C for Shanghai on March 29, with trader sentiment reflecting this at 30.5% implied probability for 18°C versus 22.5% for 19°C, highlighting model spread amid uncertain cloud cover and southerly winds. Recent 24-hour updates show slight warming trends from clearer skies post a mild cold front, boosting upper-teens probabilities while capping extremes; historical late-March averages hover 14-16°C, but urban heat island effects and neutral ENSO conditions support this range. Key differentiators include diurnal solar heating potential and coastal humidity—new hourly observations from Pudong or Hongqiao stations will sharpen resolution as the date unfolds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on March 29?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 29?
18°C 31%
19°C 24%
20°C 13%
17°C 11%
NEW
$26,314 Объем
NEW
$26,314 Объем
Mar 29, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
4%
17°C
11%
18°C
31%
19°C
24%
20°C
13%
21°C
9%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
2%
18°C 31%
19°C 24%
20°C 13%
17°C 11%
NEW
$26,314 Объем
NEW
$26,314 Объем
Mar 29, 2026
13°C or below
$7,155 Объем
1%
14°C
$3,801 Объем
1%
15°C
$2,512 Объем
3%
16°C
$1,546 Объем
4%
17°C
$1,730 Объем
11%
18°C
$1,206 Объем
31%
19°C
$1,351 Объем
24%
20°C
$1,659 Объем
13%
21°C
$1,457 Объем
9%
22°C
$972 Объем
3%
23°C or higher
$2,927 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high temperature clustering around 18°C for Shanghai on March 29, with trader sentiment reflecting this at 30.5% implied probability for 18°C versus 22.5% for 19°C, highlighting model spread amid uncertain cloud cover and southerly winds. Recent 24-hour updates show slight warming trends from clearer skies post a mild cold front, boosting upper-teens probabilities while capping extremes; historical late-March averages hover 14-16°C, but urban heat island effects and neutral ENSO conditions support this range. Key differentiators include diurnal solar heating potential and coastal humidity—new hourly observations from Pudong or Hongqiao stations will sharpen resolution as the date unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Объем
$26,314Дата окончания
Mar 29, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high temperature clustering around 18°C for Shanghai on March 29, with trader sentiment reflecting this at 30.5% implied probability for 18°C versus 22.5% for 19°C, highlighting model spread amid uncertain cloud cover and southerly winds. Recent 24-hour updates show slight warming trends from clearer skies post a mild cold front, boosting upper-teens probabilities while capping extremes; historical late-March averages hover 14-16°C, but urban heat island effects and neutral ENSO conditions support this range. Key differentiators include diurnal solar heating potential and coastal humidity—new hourly observations from Pudong or Hongqiao stations will sharpen resolution as the date unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$26,314Дата окончания
Mar 29, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high temperature clustering around 18°C for Shanghai on March 29, with trader sentiment reflecting this at 30.5% implied probability for 18°C versus 22.5% for 19°C, highlighting model spread amid uncertain cloud cover and southerly winds. Recent 24-hour updates show slight warming trends from clearer skies post a mild cold front, boosting upper-teens probabilities while capping extremes; historical late-March averages hover 14-16°C, but urban heat island effects and neutral ENSO conditions support this range. Key differentiators include diurnal solar heating potential and coastal humidity—new hourly observations from Pudong or Hongqiao stations will sharpen resolution as the date unfolds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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