Météo-France's latest forecast consensus, corroborated by ECMWF models, projects Paris's highest temperature on April 4 at 17–18°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to 100% on "17°C or higher." Morning observations from official stations like Paris-Montsouris recorded lows around 11°C, with steady diurnal warming expected amid a high-pressure ridge over western Europe—above the April climatological average of 14–15°C. This alignment reflects strong model agreement on sufficient solar insolation and mild southerly flow. Realistic challenges include unexpected persistent overcast or a late-afternoon cold front capping peaks below 17°C, though probabilities remain low; end-of-day Météo-France bulletins will confirm resolution based on verified maximums.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Paris on April 4?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 4?
17°C or higher 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$173,867 Объем
$173,867 Объем
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
100%
17°C or higher 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$173,867 Объем
$173,867 Объем
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Окно спора
Окончательный
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Окно спора
Окончательный
Météo-France's latest forecast consensus, corroborated by ECMWF models, projects Paris's highest temperature on April 4 at 17–18°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to 100% on "17°C or higher." Morning observations from official stations like Paris-Montsouris recorded lows around 11°C, with steady diurnal warming expected amid a high-pressure ridge over western Europe—above the April climatological average of 14–15°C. This alignment reflects strong model agreement on sufficient solar insolation and mild southerly flow. Realistic challenges include unexpected persistent overcast or a late-afternoon cold front capping peaks below 17°C, though probabilities remain low; end-of-day Météo-France bulletins will confirm resolution based on verified maximums.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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