Former New Britain Mayor Erin Stewart leads trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability to win Connecticut's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 11, driven by her proven executive record governing a Democrat-dominated city for 12 years, early TV ad launches in February spending $200,000 to criticize incumbent Gov. Ned Lamont, and internal polling showing a commanding edge. State Sen. Ryan Fazio trails at 34%, supported by endorsements from the GOP House and Senate minority leaders, active campaigning on income and property tax cuts plus electricity bill reductions, and higher favorability in a February University of New Hampshire Nutmeg State Poll. Recent candidate meet-and-greets on April 2 sidestepped national figures amid focus on state issues, with the May GOP state convention poised to issue an endorsement that could consolidate support ahead of the primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЭрин Стюарт 55%
Райан Фацио 34%
Харри Арора 8.0%
Бетси Маккоги 6%
Эрин Стюарт
55%
Райан Фацио
34%
Харри Арора
9%
Бетси Маккоги
12%
Тимоти Уилкокс
2%
Эрин Стюарт 55%
Райан Фацио 34%
Харри Арора 8.0%
Бетси Маккоги 6%
Эрин Стюарт
55%
Райан Фацио
34%
Харри Арора
9%
Бетси Маккоги
12%
Тимоти Уилкокс
2%
If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former New Britain Mayor Erin Stewart leads trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability to win Connecticut's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 11, driven by her proven executive record governing a Democrat-dominated city for 12 years, early TV ad launches in February spending $200,000 to criticize incumbent Gov. Ned Lamont, and internal polling showing a commanding edge. State Sen. Ryan Fazio trails at 34%, supported by endorsements from the GOP House and Senate minority leaders, active campaigning on income and property tax cuts plus electricity bill reductions, and higher favorability in a February University of New Hampshire Nutmeg State Poll. Recent candidate meet-and-greets on April 2 sidestepped national figures amid focus on state issues, with the May GOP state convention poised to issue an endorsement that could consolidate support ahead of the primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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