**Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party candidate Shin Yong-han at 77% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026, Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election, driven by the People Power Party's ongoing nomination turmoil.** Recent court rulings on March 31 and April 2 suspended the PPP's cutoff of incumbent Governor Kim Young-hwan (3.3%), forcing a full primary restart including challengers like Song Ki-sub (9.5%) and Yoon Hee-geun (1.3%), amid plunging PPP approval to 20% in late March ARS polls versus DPK's 56%. Shin, who advanced in the DPK's March 27 primary runoff over Noh Yeong-min (11%), leads recent general polls (e.g., 44% vs. Kim's 25% in early March), bolstered by the opposition's disarray and no-confidence signals from party leadership shakeups. Upcoming PPP primary outcomes could shift dynamics before early voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора провинции Чхунчхонбук
Победитель выборов губернатора провинции Чхунчхонбук
Шин Ён-хан 77%
Но Ён Мин 11%
Сон Ки-суб 9.8%
Ким Ён-хван 3.2%
$16,517 Объем
$16,517 Объем
Шин Ён-хан
77%
Но Ён Мин
11%
Сон Ки-суб
10%
Ким Ён-хван
3%
Чо Гиль-хён
3%
Ли Чон-бэ
2%
Юн Хи-гын
1%
До Джон-хван
1%
Шин Ён-хан 77%
Но Ён Мин 11%
Сон Ки-суб 9.8%
Ким Ён-хван 3.2%
$16,517 Объем
$16,517 Объем
Шин Ён-хан
77%
Но Ён Мин
11%
Сон Ки-суб
10%
Ким Ён-хван
3%
Чо Гиль-хён
3%
Ли Чон-бэ
2%
Юн Хи-гын
1%
До Джон-хван
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Открытие рынка: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party candidate Shin Yong-han at 77% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026, Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election, driven by the People Power Party's ongoing nomination turmoil.** Recent court rulings on March 31 and April 2 suspended the PPP's cutoff of incumbent Governor Kim Young-hwan (3.3%), forcing a full primary restart including challengers like Song Ki-sub (9.5%) and Yoon Hee-geun (1.3%), amid plunging PPP approval to 20% in late March ARS polls versus DPK's 56%. Shin, who advanced in the DPK's March 27 primary runoff over Noh Yeong-min (11%), leads recent general polls (e.g., 44% vs. Kim's 25% in early March), bolstered by the opposition's disarray and no-confidence signals from party leadership shakeups. Upcoming PPP primary outcomes could shift dynamics before early voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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