President Faustin-Archange Touadéra's United Hearts Movement (MCU), the ruling party, leads trader consensus at 88.4% implied probability to secure the most seats in the Central African Republic's National Assembly following the December 28, 2025, general elections, buoyed by its dominant first-round performance claiming around 50 seats outright. The Constitutional Council's February 27, 2026, validation of results in 88 of 105 circonscriptions confirmed MCU's large advance amid low opposition turnout and boycotts in some races. A second round on April 5 will decide remaining seats in the 140-member assembly, but MCU's momentum from Touadéra's landslide presidential re-election sustains its frontrunner status, with challengers like UNDP and KNK trailing far behind.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Национальное собрание Центральноафриканской Республики
Победитель выборов в Национальное собрание Центральноафриканской Республики
ДЕС 90.2%
ДОЦАН 7.5%
KNK 4.4%
НДП 1.0%
$56,142 Объем
$56,142 Объем
Dec 28, 2025
ДЕС
90%
ДОЦАН
8%
KNK
4%
НДП
1%
MOUNI
1%
ЦАДО
1%
УРЦА
1%
ДЕС 90.2%
ДОЦАН 7.5%
KNK 4.4%
НДП 1.0%
$56,142 Объем
$56,142 Объем
Dec 28, 2025
ДЕС
$30,464 Объем
90%
ДОЦАН
$0 Объем
8%
KNK
$7,073 Объем
4%
НДП
$12,289 Объем
1%
MOUNI
$6,316 Объем
1%
ЦАДО
$0 Объем
1%
УРЦА
$0 Объем
1%
The 2025 Central African Republic general election is scheduled to be held on December 28, 2025, to elect the 140 members of the National Assembly (CAR’s unicameral parliament).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).President Faustin-Archange Touadéra's United Hearts Movement (MCU), the ruling party, leads trader consensus at 88.4% implied probability to secure the most seats in the Central African Republic's National Assembly following the December 28, 2025, general elections, buoyed by its dominant first-round performance claiming around 50 seats outright. The Constitutional Council's February 27, 2026, validation of results in 88 of 105 circonscriptions confirmed MCU's large advance amid low opposition turnout and boycotts in some races. A second round on April 5 will decide remaining seats in the 140-member assembly, but MCU's momentum from Touadéra's landslide presidential re-election sustains its frontrunner status, with challengers like UNDP and KNK trailing far behind.
The 2025 Central African Republic general election is scheduled to be held on December 28, 2025, to elect the 140 members of the National Assembly (CAR’s unicameral parliament).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 3, 2025, 12:28 PM ET
Объем
$56,142Дата окончания
Dec 28, 2025Открытие рынка
Dec 3, 2025, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2025 Central African Republic general election is scheduled to be held on December 28, 2025, to elect the 140 members of the National Assembly (CAR’s unicameral parliament).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).President Faustin-Archange Touadéra's United Hearts Movement (MCU), the ruling party, leads trader consensus at 88.4% implied probability to secure the most seats in the Central African Republic's National Assembly following the December 28, 2025, general elections, buoyed by its dominant first-round performance claiming around 50 seats outright. The Constitutional Council's February 27, 2026, validation of results in 88 of 105 circonscriptions confirmed MCU's large advance amid low opposition turnout and boycotts in some races. A second round on April 5 will decide remaining seats in the 140-member assembly, but MCU's momentum from Touadéra's landslide presidential re-election sustains its frontrunner status, with challengers like UNDP and KNK trailing far behind.
The 2025 Central African Republic general election is scheduled to be held on December 28, 2025, to elect the 140 members of the National Assembly (CAR’s unicameral parliament).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
Объем
$56,142Дата окончания
Dec 28, 2025Открытие рынка
Dec 3, 2025, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...President Faustin-Archange Touadéra's United Hearts Movement (MCU), the ruling party, leads trader consensus at 88.4% implied probability to secure the most seats in the Central African Republic's National Assembly following the December 28, 2025, general elections, buoyed by its dominant first-round performance claiming around 50 seats outright. The Constitutional Council's February 27, 2026, validation of results in 88 of 105 circonscriptions confirmed MCU's large advance amid low opposition turnout and boycotts in some races. A second round on April 5 will decide remaining seats in the 140-member assembly, but MCU's momentum from Touadéra's landslide presidential re-election sustains its frontrunner status, with challengers like UNDP and KNK trailing far behind.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы