Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin holds a commanding position in California's 15th Congressional District, a safe Democratic seat with a D+26 Cook Partisan Voting Index, where he won 73% in 2024 amid 72% Democratic presidential support. With the March 6 filing deadline passed, the June 2 top-two primary features Mullin against three fellow Democrats, one Republican (Charles Hoelter), and one no-party-preference candidate, alongside Mullin's superior fundraising ($229,000 cash on hand). His recent trek from a hospital to vote against a Republican budget proposal bolstered local support, announced alongside his March 16 reelection bid. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 94.5%, reflecting historical dominance and weak GOP field; upset scenarios include a surprise Republican primary advance or unforeseen scandal before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоCA-15 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-15 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$37,892 Объем
$37,892 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
4%
$37,892 Объем
$37,892 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Демократическая партия
$28,696 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$9,196 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin holds a commanding position in California's 15th Congressional District, a safe Democratic seat with a D+26 Cook Partisan Voting Index, where he won 73% in 2024 amid 72% Democratic presidential support. With the March 6 filing deadline passed, the June 2 top-two primary features Mullin against three fellow Democrats, one Republican (Charles Hoelter), and one no-party-preference candidate, alongside Mullin's superior fundraising ($229,000 cash on hand). His recent trek from a hospital to vote against a Republican budget proposal bolstered local support, announced alongside his March 16 reelection bid. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 94.5%, reflecting historical dominance and weak GOP field; upset scenarios include a surprise Republican primary advance or unforeseen scandal before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Объем
$37,892Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin holds a commanding position in California's 15th Congressional District, a safe Democratic seat with a D+26 Cook Partisan Voting Index, where he won 73% in 2024 amid 72% Democratic presidential support. With the March 6 filing deadline passed, the June 2 top-two primary features Mullin against three fellow Democrats, one Republican (Charles Hoelter), and one no-party-preference candidate, alongside Mullin's superior fundraising ($229,000 cash on hand). His recent trek from a hospital to vote against a Republican budget proposal bolstered local support, announced alongside his March 16 reelection bid. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 94.5%, reflecting historical dominance and weak GOP field; upset scenarios include a surprise Republican primary advance or unforeseen scandal before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$37,892Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin holds a commanding position in California's 15th Congressional District, a safe Democratic seat with a D+26 Cook Partisan Voting Index, where he won 73% in 2024 amid 72% Democratic presidential support. With the March 6 filing deadline passed, the June 2 top-two primary features Mullin against three fellow Democrats, one Republican (Charles Hoelter), and one no-party-preference candidate, alongside Mullin's superior fundraising ($229,000 cash on hand). His recent trek from a hospital to vote against a Republican budget proposal bolstered local support, announced alongside his March 16 reelection bid. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 94.5%, reflecting historical dominance and weak GOP field; upset scenarios include a surprise Republican primary advance or unforeseen scandal before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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