Bucharest Mayoral Election Margin of Victory
Bucharest Mayoral Election Margin of Victory
Ciucu 12%+ 100.0%
Ciucu 9-12% <1%
Ciucu 6-9% <1%
Ciucu 3-6% <1%
$226,822 Объем
$226,822 Объем
Dec 7, 2025

Ciucu 12%+
Yes

Ciucu 9-12%
No

Ciucu 6-9%
No

Ciucu 3-6%
No

Ciucu 0-3%
No

Baluta 0-3%
No

Baluta 3-6%
No

Baluta 6-9%
No

Baluta 9-12%
No

Baluta 12%+
No

Other
No
Ciucu 12%+ 100.0%
Ciucu 9-12% <1%
Ciucu 6-9% <1%
Ciucu 3-6% <1%
$226,822 Объем
$226,822 Объем
Dec 7, 2025

Ciucu 12%+
$62,559 Объем
Yes

Ciucu 9-12%
$36,616 Объем
No

Ciucu 6-9%
$15,014 Объем
No

Ciucu 3-6%
$13,479 Объем
No

Ciucu 0-3%
$11,693 Объем
No

Baluta 0-3%
$11,576 Объем
No

Baluta 3-6%
$15,032 Объем
No

Baluta 6-9%
$9,681 Объем
No

Baluta 9-12%
$10,838 Объем
No

Baluta 12%+
$7,915 Объем
No

Other
$32,419 Объем
No
Nicușor Dan, the former Mayor of Bucharest, was elected President of Romania on May 18, 2025, triggering a mayoral by-election scheduled to take place on December 7, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election.
For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If no by-election takes place by July 31, 2026, or the results of the Bucharest mayoral election are otherwise unknown by that date, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicușor Dan, the former Mayor of Bucharest, was elected President of Romania on May 18, 2025, triggering a mayoral by-election scheduled to take place on December 7, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election.
For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If no by-election takes place by July 31, 2026, or the results of the Bucharest mayoral election are otherwise unknown by that date, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election.
For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If no by-election takes place by July 31, 2026, or the results of the Bucharest mayoral election are otherwise unknown by that date, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 27, 2025, 9:31 AM ET
Объем
$226,822Дата окончания
Dec 7, 2025Открытие рынка
Nov 27, 2025, 9:31 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
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Frequently Asked Questions