In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial contest—an term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy's seat with a nonpartisan top-four primary August 18 and ranked-choice general November 3—trader consensus positions former Sen. Tom Begich (24.5%) ahead amid a splintered Republican field, where Bernadette Wilson (14%), Treg Taylor (11%), and Nancy Dahlstrom (9.5%) divide conservative support. Begich's edge reflects a February Lake Research Partners primary poll showing him at 22% versus fragmented GOP votes, bolstered by $350,000 early fundraising largely from Alaskans and recent Southeast tour emphasizing education and housing. GOP consolidation via Dunleavy endorsements or standout fundraising before June 1 filing could rally backing, while historical ranked-choice splits heighten risks for Republicans.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Аляски
Победитель выборов губернатора Аляски
Том Бегич 25%
Бернадетт Уилсон 14%
Нэнси Дальстром 10%
Эдна ДеВриз 9.1%
$374,399 Объем
$374,399 Объем

Том Бегич
25%

Бернадетт Уилсон
14%

Нэнси Дальстром
10%

Эдна ДеВриз
8%

Трег Тейлор
11%

Лиза Мурковски
6%

Дэвид Бронсон
5%

Шелли Хьюз
5%

Джеймс Паркин
5%

Мэри Пэлтола
3%

Клик Бишоп
2%

Мэтт Хейлала
1%

Адам Крам
1%
Том Бегич 25%
Бернадетт Уилсон 14%
Нэнси Дальстром 10%
Эдна ДеВриз 9.1%
$374,399 Объем
$374,399 Объем

Том Бегич
25%

Бернадетт Уилсон
14%

Нэнси Дальстром
10%

Эдна ДеВриз
8%

Трег Тейлор
11%

Лиза Мурковски
6%

Дэвид Бронсон
5%

Шелли Хьюз
5%

Джеймс Паркин
5%

Мэри Пэлтола
3%

Клик Бишоп
2%

Мэтт Хейлала
1%

Адам Крам
1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial contest—an term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy's seat with a nonpartisan top-four primary August 18 and ranked-choice general November 3—trader consensus positions former Sen. Tom Begich (24.5%) ahead amid a splintered Republican field, where Bernadette Wilson (14%), Treg Taylor (11%), and Nancy Dahlstrom (9.5%) divide conservative support. Begich's edge reflects a February Lake Research Partners primary poll showing him at 22% versus fragmented GOP votes, bolstered by $350,000 early fundraising largely from Alaskans and recent Southeast tour emphasizing education and housing. GOP consolidation via Dunleavy endorsements or standout fundraising before June 1 filing could rally backing, while historical ranked-choice splits heighten risks for Republicans.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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