Trader consensus positions Tom Begich as the narrow primary frontrunner at 24.5% implied probability for Alaska's open-seat governor race, driven by his 22% lead in the February Lake Research Partners poll amid a splintered Republican field where Bernadette Wilson follows at 14%, Treg Taylor—former attorney general—at 10.2%, and Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom at 9.5%. Begich benefits from $350,000 in mostly in-state fundraising and family name recognition from his father, ex-Sen. Mark Begich, while Republicans differentiate on conservatism (Wilson's grassroots endorsements), law enforcement (Taylor), and incumbency ties (Dahlstrom). February reports showed competitive hauls exceeding $4 million total; a March GOP debate spotlighted fisheries and oil taxes. Consolidation hinges on endorsements, GOP unity before June 1 filing, or undecided voters (23%) shifting ahead of the August 18 top-four primary and ranked-choice general.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Аляски
Победитель выборов губернатора Аляски
Том Бегич 25%
Бернадетт Уилсон 14%
Нэнси Дальстром 10%
Эдна ДеВриз 9.1%
$374,399 Объем
$374,399 Объем

Том Бегич
25%

Бернадетт Уилсон
14%

Нэнси Дальстром
10%

Эдна ДеВриз
7%

Трег Тейлор
10%

Лиза Мурковски
8%

Шелли Хьюз
5%

Джеймс Паркин
5%

Дэвид Бронсон
4%

Мэри Пэлтола
3%

Клик Бишоп
2%

Мэтт Хейлала
1%

Адам Крам
1%
Том Бегич 25%
Бернадетт Уилсон 14%
Нэнси Дальстром 10%
Эдна ДеВриз 9.1%
$374,399 Объем
$374,399 Объем

Том Бегич
25%

Бернадетт Уилсон
14%

Нэнси Дальстром
10%

Эдна ДеВриз
7%

Трег Тейлор
10%

Лиза Мурковски
8%

Шелли Хьюз
5%

Джеймс Паркин
5%

Дэвид Бронсон
4%

Мэри Пэлтола
3%

Клик Бишоп
2%

Мэтт Хейлала
1%

Адам Крам
1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus positions Tom Begich as the narrow primary frontrunner at 24.5% implied probability for Alaska's open-seat governor race, driven by his 22% lead in the February Lake Research Partners poll amid a splintered Republican field where Bernadette Wilson follows at 14%, Treg Taylor—former attorney general—at 10.2%, and Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom at 9.5%. Begich benefits from $350,000 in mostly in-state fundraising and family name recognition from his father, ex-Sen. Mark Begich, while Republicans differentiate on conservatism (Wilson's grassroots endorsements), law enforcement (Taylor), and incumbency ties (Dahlstrom). February reports showed competitive hauls exceeding $4 million total; a March GOP debate spotlighted fisheries and oil taxes. Consolidation hinges on endorsements, GOP unity before June 1 filing, or undecided voters (23%) shifting ahead of the August 18 top-four primary and ranked-choice general.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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