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Gpt 4 previsões e probabilidades

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OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

31%

50%+

$21.9K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

12%

60%+

$32.1K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)

92%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$8.0K Vol.

$26.7K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

89%

July 31

$21.9K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

89%

December 31, 2026

$301K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

45

Ends há 4 meses

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

29%

2

$14.7K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends em 21 dias

VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

39%

June 30

$43.7K Vol.

$89 Liq.

1

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

94%

September 30

$6.4K Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs LFO (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs LFO (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

100%

ENJOY

$904 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

56%

0

$1M Vol.

$37.1K Liq.

10

Ends em 11 meses

Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs WROTBERRY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs WROTBERRY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

100%

ZOTIX

$1.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

65%

INOX Division

$23 Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Skele

$4.6K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 3 meses

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

16%

$71.3K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

54%

UNiTY esports

$57.8K Vol.

$57.8K today

$59.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 4 horas

Counter-Strike: mixmix vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: mixmix vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

100%

CYBERSHOKE Prospects

$2.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

62%

Favbet

$46 Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

8%

$51.4K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

9

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

82%

Manchester United

$2M Vol.

$50.2K Liq.

22

Ends em 17 dias

Counter-Strike: banda chuya vs Young TigeRES (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: banda chuya vs Young TigeRES (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

100%

Young TigeRES

$3.7K Vol.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Gpt 4.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Gpt 4 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “English Premier League - Top 4 Finish ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “English Premier League - Top 4 Finish ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Arsenal. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Gpt 4 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.