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Gpt 4 previsões e probabilidades

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OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

31%

50%+

$24.9K Vol.

$557 Liq.

1

Ends em 26 dias

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

46%

60%+

$37.3K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

4

Ends em 26 dias

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

60%

June 8–June 14

$53.0K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

98%

July 31

$449K Vol.

$58.9K today

$107K Liq.

6

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

83%

December 31, 2026

$333K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

44

Ends há 5 meses

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

47%

4+

$5.7K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends em 26 dias

VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

28%

June 30

$43.8K Vol.

$67 Liq.

1

Ends há 2 meses

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

97%

September 30

$20.5K Vol.

$22.5K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Counter-Strike: GenOne vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group D

Counter-Strike: GenOne vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group D

61%

GenOne

$34 Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth?

General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth?

34%

-3%– -1.5%

$9.7K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

Ends em 21 dias

Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group B

Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group B

65%

Atreides

$1.1K Vol.

$730 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 5 horas

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs LFO (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs LFO (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

100%

ENJOY

$904 Vol.

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Grok 4.4 released by...?

Grok 4.4 released by...?

69%

June 30

$10.5K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

2

Ends em 26 dias

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

61%

0

$1M Vol.

$18.0K Liq.

9

Ends em 10 meses

Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs WROTBERRY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs WROTBERRY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

100%

ZOTIX

$1.8K Vol.

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Skele

$4.6K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 3 meses

Will NIKE Q4 Greater China revenue be above __ ?

Will NIKE Q4 Greater China revenue be above __ ?

56%

$1.0B

$211 Vol.

$103 Liq.

Ends em 22 dias

Will NIKE Q4 NIKE Branded Footwear revenue be above __?

Will NIKE Q4 NIKE Branded Footwear revenue be above __?

89%

$6.8B

$49 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends em 22 dias

Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group C

Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group C

63%

Leo Team

$30 Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

24%

$71.8K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Gpt 4.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Gpt 4 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 61% chance to 0. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Gpt 4 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.