Skip to main content
icon for Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

icon for Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

NOVO
30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$7,847 Vol.

Polymarket

↓ 450.0k

$398 Vol.

25%

↓ 400.0k

$189 Vol.

44%

↓ 350.0k

$544 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time. Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.**Claude Code adoption continues to accelerate public GitHub commit share, with the tool now responsible for roughly 4% of daily commits as of mid-2026 and strong internal benchmarks at Anthropic showing over 80% of merged production code authored by Claude models.** Recent June updates to the Claude Code platform, including fixes for connection stability, sub-agent workflows, plugin performance, and remote session handling, have addressed earlier quality regressions from April and support higher-volume autonomous use. Model improvements such as Opus 4.8 (May 2026) boosted coding benchmarks like SWE-Bench, while the June 15 billing shift moved automated/agentic usage (GitHub Actions, headless sessions, SDK) to separate credits. This change could either sustain or temporarily disrupt commit momentum depending on how developers adapt workflows before month-end. Competitive pressure from other AI coding agents remains secondary, as Claude maintains a visible lead in attributed commit volume amid rapid developer ecosystem growth. Traders are watching for any late-June usage data or further tool refinements that could push daily figures toward higher thresholds by the June 30 resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.

This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time.

Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered.

This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Volume
$7,847
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time. Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time. Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.**Claude Code adoption continues to accelerate public GitHub commit share, with the tool now responsible for roughly 4% of daily commits as of mid-2026 and strong internal benchmarks at Anthropic showing over 80% of merged production code authored by Claude models.** Recent June updates to the Claude Code platform, including fixes for connection stability, sub-agent workflows, plugin performance, and remote session handling, have addressed earlier quality regressions from April and support higher-volume autonomous use. Model improvements such as Opus 4.8 (May 2026) boosted coding benchmarks like SWE-Bench, while the June 15 billing shift moved automated/agentic usage (GitHub Actions, headless sessions, SDK) to separate credits. This change could either sustain or temporarily disrupt commit momentum depending on how developers adapt workflows before month-end. Competitive pressure from other AI coding agents remains secondary, as Claude maintains a visible lead in attributed commit volume amid rapid developer ecosystem growth. Traders are watching for any late-June usage data or further tool refinements that could push daily figures toward higher thresholds by the June 30 resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.

This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time.

Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered.

This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Volume
$7,847
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time. Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑ 750.0k" at 100%, followed by "↑ 700.0k" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?" is "↑ 750.0k" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑ 700.0k" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.