Market icon
Tecnologia·IA

VEO 4 lançado por...?

Market icon
Tecnologia·IA

VEO 4 lançado por...?

$42,520 Vol.

30 abr 2026
Polymarket

$42,520 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de abril

$230 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google DeepMind's Veo 3.1, released in paid preview via the Gemini API last October with recent rollout updates in January including vertical format support and improved consistency, remains the latest official video generation model, featuring native audio, extended clips up to two minutes, and advanced creative controls. No confirmed announcements have surfaced for Veo 4 amid intensifying competition from rivals like Seedance 2.0 and Runway's latest models, which have sparked trader speculation of an imminent leap in quality, such as native 4K resolution and superior motion coherence. Rumors point to a potential debut at Google I/O in late May 2026, aligning with historical cadence for major AI showcases, though timelines could slip due to internal benchmarking against peers. Traders should monitor DeepMind's blog and developer previews for resolution triggers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).

For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.

Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$42,520
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 30, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google DeepMind's Veo 3.1, released in paid preview via the Gemini API last October with recent rollout updates in January including vertical format support and improved consistency, remains the latest official video generation model, featuring native audio, extended clips up to two minutes, and advanced creative controls. No confirmed announcements have surfaced for Veo 4 amid intensifying competition from rivals like Seedance 2.0 and Runway's latest models, which have sparked trader speculation of an imminent leap in quality, such as native 4K resolution and superior motion coherence. Rumors point to a potential debut at Google I/O in late May 2026, aligning with historical cadence for major AI showcases, though timelines could slip due to internal benchmarking against peers. Traders should monitor DeepMind's blog and developer previews for resolution triggers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).

For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.

Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$42,520
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 30, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"VEO 4 lançado por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30 de abril" at 18%, followed by "31 de janeiro" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "VEO 4 lançado por...?" has generated $42.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "VEO 4 lançado por...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "VEO 4 lançado por...?" is "30 de abril" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "31 de janeiro" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "VEO 4 lançado por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.