Google’s Gemini models, particularly recent flash and pro variants scoring near 1520 on the Text Arena math leaderboard, have driven trader consensus toward a 71.5% implied probability that the company finishes second at month-end. Anthropic’s Claude series continues to occupy the top math spots with scores above 1525, creating a clear gap that favors Google over lower-placed labs such as Z.ai, Moonshot, and Alibaba, whose models cluster in the 1480–1510 range. OpenAI and Meta trail further behind on the category-specific ranking. With resolution set for September 30 based on the filtered lab leaderboard at arena.ai, any late-September model updates or vote surges could still shift relative positioning before final tallying.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Google 71%
Anthropic 18.6%
OpenAI 5.8%
Alibaba 1.1%
$56,738 Vol.
$56,738 Vol.
30 set 2026
71%
Anthropic
19%
OpenAI
6%
Alibaba
1%
Moonshot
1%
Meta
1%
Z.ai
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Baidu
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Google 71%
Anthropic 18.6%
OpenAI 5.8%
Alibaba 1.1%
$56,738 Vol.
$56,738 Vol.
30 set 2026
$17,751 Vol.
71%
Anthropic
$6,980 Vol.
19%
OpenAI
$6,885 Vol.
6%
Alibaba
$5,764 Vol.
1%
Moonshot
$1,695 Vol.
1%
Meta
$1,495 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$1,563 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$1,150 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$1,349 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,231 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,467 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$1,227 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,653 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$766 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,063 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$1,044 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$951 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,228 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$566 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$910 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google’s Gemini models, particularly recent flash and pro variants scoring near 1520 on the Text Arena math leaderboard, have driven trader consensus toward a 71.5% implied probability that the company finishes second at month-end. Anthropic’s Claude series continues to occupy the top math spots with scores above 1525, creating a clear gap that favors Google over lower-placed labs such as Z.ai, Moonshot, and Alibaba, whose models cluster in the 1480–1510 range. OpenAI and Meta trail further behind on the category-specific ranking. With resolution set for September 30 based on the filtered lab leaderboard at arena.ai, any late-September model updates or vote surges could still shift relative positioning before final tallying.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado Aberto: Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volume
$56,738Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google’s Gemini models, particularly recent flash and pro variants scoring near 1520 on the Text Arena math leaderboard, have driven trader consensus toward a 71.5% implied probability that the company finishes second at month-end. Anthropic’s Claude series continues to occupy the top math spots with scores above 1525, creating a clear gap that favors Google over lower-placed labs such as Z.ai, Moonshot, and Alibaba, whose models cluster in the 1480–1510 range. OpenAI and Meta trail further behind on the category-specific ranking. With resolution set for September 30 based on the filtered lab leaderboard at arena.ai, any late-September model updates or vote surges could still shift relative positioning before final tallying.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$56,738Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s Gemini models, particularly recent flash and pro variants scoring near 1520 on the Text Arena math leaderboard, have driven trader consensus toward a 71.5% implied probability that the company finishes second at month-end. Anthropic’s Claude series continues to occupy the top math spots with scores above 1525, creating a clear gap that favors Google over lower-placed labs such as Z.ai, Moonshot, and Alibaba, whose models cluster in the 1480–1510 range. OpenAI and Meta trail further behind on the category-specific ranking. With resolution set for September 30 based on the filtered lab leaderboard at arena.ai, any late-September model updates or vote surges could still shift relative positioning before final tallying.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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