Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

24%

$196K Vol.

$51.7K Liq.

15

Ends em 9 meses

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

96%

$93.0K Vol.

$73.5K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

4%

December 31, 2026

$104K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

18

Ends há 3 meses

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

60%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$864K Liq.

63

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

52%

Democrats Sweep

$4M Vol.

$568K Liq.

138

Ends em 7 meses

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

88%

$0 Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

2

Ends em 7 meses

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

$58.9K Vol.

$15.6K Liq.

4

Ends em 7 meses

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

92%

$2.0K Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

2

Ends em 7 meses

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

100%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$1M Vol.

$393K today

$2M Liq.

361

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

27%

≤47

$2M Vol.

$189K Liq.

6

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

52%

Democratic Party

$1M Vol.

$382K Liq.

6

Ends em 7 meses

White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

45%

160-179

$5.4K Vol.

$42.8K Liq.

Ends em 10 dias

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

43%

$86.2K Vol.

$17.1K Liq.

4

Ends em 3 meses

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

35%

Below 190

$198K Vol.

$105K Liq.

1

Ends em 7 meses

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

84%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$313K Vol.

$24.8K Liq.

11

Ends em 7 meses

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

20%

$10.1K Vol.

$43.3K Liq.

2

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

24%

Gavin Newsom

$978M Vol.

$6M today

$43M Liq.

634

Ends em mais de 2 anos

White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

33%

160-179

$20.0K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

AK-AL House Election Winner

AK-AL House Election Winner

67%

Republican Party

$1.1K Vol.

$24.5K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

26%

Democrats 8-10%

$28.1K Vol.

$35.6K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PolíTica Americana.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for PolíTica Americana that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $989.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 24% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PolíTica Americana predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.