The New York Yankees hold a slim edge in trader consensus at 21.5% implied probability to win the 2026 American League Championship, buoyed by their 6-1 start atop the AL East fueled by Max Fried's scoreless outings and a potent lineup, while the Seattle Mariners trail closely at 20.0% after going 5-2 to lead the AL West on pitching depth from Bryan Woo and a balanced offense. This tight clustering reflects deep parity across divisions, with Toronto Blue Jays (13.5%) at 4-3 despite catcher Alejandro Kirk's recent thumb injury offset by signing Patrick Corbin, and Detroit Tigers (11.5%) holding 3-4 in a winnable AL Central amid minor pitching ailments. Early-season small samples, robust rotations, and wild card paths keep the race competitive league-wide.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMLB: Campeão da Liga Americana de 2026
MLB: Campeão da Liga Americana de 2026
New York Yankees 22%
Seattle Mariners 20%
Toronto Blue Jays 14%
Detroit Tigers 12%
$3,284,965 Vol.
$3,284,965 Vol.
New York Yankees
22%
Seattle Mariners
20%
Toronto Blue Jays
14%
Detroit Tigers
12%
Boston Red Sox
8%
Texas Rangers
8%
Baltimore Orioles
7%
Kansas City Royals
6%
Houston Astros
6%
Cleveland Guardians
4%
Tampa Bay Rays
1%
Athletics
1%
Minnesota Twins
1%
Chicago White Sox
1%
Los Angeles Angels
1%
New York Yankees 22%
Seattle Mariners 20%
Toronto Blue Jays 14%
Detroit Tigers 12%
$3,284,965 Vol.
$3,284,965 Vol.
New York Yankees
22%
Seattle Mariners
20%
Toronto Blue Jays
14%
Detroit Tigers
12%
Boston Red Sox
8%
Texas Rangers
8%
Baltimore Orioles
7%
Kansas City Royals
6%
Houston Astros
6%
Cleveland Guardians
4%
Tampa Bay Rays
1%
Athletics
1%
Minnesota Twins
1%
Chicago White Sox
1%
Los Angeles Angels
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The New York Yankees hold a slim edge in trader consensus at 21.5% implied probability to win the 2026 American League Championship, buoyed by their 6-1 start atop the AL East fueled by Max Fried's scoreless outings and a potent lineup, while the Seattle Mariners trail closely at 20.0% after going 5-2 to lead the AL West on pitching depth from Bryan Woo and a balanced offense. This tight clustering reflects deep parity across divisions, with Toronto Blue Jays (13.5%) at 4-3 despite catcher Alejandro Kirk's recent thumb injury offset by signing Patrick Corbin, and Detroit Tigers (11.5%) holding 3-4 in a winnable AL Central amid minor pitching ailments. Early-season small samples, robust rotations, and wild card paths keep the race competitive league-wide.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Frequently Asked Questions