Yankees lead trader consensus at 34% implied probability for the 2026 AL East crown, bolstered by their retained core of Aaron Judge, Gerrit Cole, and recent additions like Max Fried, providing rotation stability after a competitive 2025 campaign. Blue Jays sit at 25% amid Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s impending free agency uncertainty but strong farm system depth; Red Sox (23.5%) gain from Garrett Crochet's ace potential and youth surge post-Crowe trade. Orioles (16%) face regression risks from graduating prospects and bullpen losses, while Rays (7%) lag with ongoing rebuild dynamics and modest payroll. Recent injury recoveries and arbitration wins have nudged odds, though division parity keeps upsets viable per historical volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoNew York Yankees 33%
Toronto Blue Jays 25%
Boston Red Sox 24%
Baltimore Orioles 16%
New York Yankees
33%
Toronto Blue Jays
25%
Boston Red Sox
24%
Baltimore Orioles
16%
Tampa Bay Rays
7%
New York Yankees 33%
Toronto Blue Jays 25%
Boston Red Sox 24%
Baltimore Orioles 16%
New York Yankees
33%
Toronto Blue Jays
25%
Boston Red Sox
24%
Baltimore Orioles
16%
Tampa Bay Rays
7%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 19, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Yankees lead trader consensus at 34% implied probability for the 2026 AL East crown, bolstered by their retained core of Aaron Judge, Gerrit Cole, and recent additions like Max Fried, providing rotation stability after a competitive 2025 campaign. Blue Jays sit at 25% amid Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s impending free agency uncertainty but strong farm system depth; Red Sox (23.5%) gain from Garrett Crochet's ace potential and youth surge post-Crowe trade. Orioles (16%) face regression risks from graduating prospects and bullpen losses, while Rays (7%) lag with ongoing rebuild dynamics and modest payroll. Recent injury recoveries and arbitration wins have nudged odds, though division parity keeps upsets viable per historical volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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