Trader consensus for 2026 MLB regular season win totals heavily favors teams with deep farm systems and cost-controlled young talent, like the Baltimore Orioles (projected 92.5 wins) and Cleveland Guardians (89.5), per early DraftKings lines, while rebuilding squads such as the Chicago White Sox languish under 65. Recent 2024 playoff momentum boosts sentiment for Dodgers and Phillies, but free agency losses loom large—Shohei Ohtani's megadeal secures LA through 2033, yet core players like Mookie Betts face extension questions. Prospect graduations, arbitration hikes, and the 2025 season's outcomes will reshape these implied probabilities, underscoring baseball's volatility where mid-rotation arms and bullpen depth often decide over/under thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoNew York Yankees
70%
Boston Red Sox
39%
Toronto Blue Jays
48%
Baltimore Orioles
47%
Tampa Bay Rays
60%
Detroit Tigers
39%
Kansas City Royals
63%
Minnesota Twins
27%
Cleveland Guardians
42%
Chicago White Sox
45%
Seattle Mariners
54%
Texas Rangers
39%
Houston Astros
38%
Athletics
59%
Los Angeles Angels
60%
Atlanta Braves
60%
New York Mets
46%
Philadelphia Phillies
45%
Miami Marlins
61%
Washington Nationals
59%
Chicago Cubs
40%
Pittsburgh Pirates
45%
Milwaukee Brewers
47%
Cincinnati Reds
38%
St. Louis Cardinals
56%
Los Angeles Dodgers
43%
San Francisco Giants
55%
Arizona Diamondbacks
50%
San Diego Padres
43%
Colorado Rockies
19%
$2,859 Vol.
New York Yankees
70%
Boston Red Sox
39%
Toronto Blue Jays
48%
Baltimore Orioles
47%
Tampa Bay Rays
60%
Detroit Tigers
39%
Kansas City Royals
63%
Minnesota Twins
27%
Cleveland Guardians
42%
Chicago White Sox
45%
Seattle Mariners
54%
Texas Rangers
39%
Houston Astros
38%
Athletics
59%
Los Angeles Angels
60%
Atlanta Braves
60%
New York Mets
46%
Philadelphia Phillies
45%
Miami Marlins
61%
Washington Nationals
59%
Chicago Cubs
40%
Pittsburgh Pirates
45%
Milwaukee Brewers
47%
Cincinnati Reds
38%
St. Louis Cardinals
56%
Los Angeles Dodgers
43%
San Francisco Giants
55%
Arizona Diamondbacks
50%
San Diego Padres
43%
Colorado Rockies
19%
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the New York Yankees to record more than 86.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 86.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 3, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.mlb.com/standings/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://www.mlb.com/standings/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus for 2026 MLB regular season win totals heavily favors teams with deep farm systems and cost-controlled young talent, like the Baltimore Orioles (projected 92.5 wins) and Cleveland Guardians (89.5), per early DraftKings lines, while rebuilding squads such as the Chicago White Sox languish under 65. Recent 2024 playoff momentum boosts sentiment for Dodgers and Phillies, but free agency losses loom large—Shohei Ohtani's megadeal secures LA through 2033, yet core players like Mookie Betts face extension questions. Prospect graduations, arbitration hikes, and the 2025 season's outcomes will reshape these implied probabilities, underscoring baseball's volatility where mid-rotation arms and bullpen depth often decide over/under thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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