Macro Geopolitics predictions & odds

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Macro Geopolitics

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

16%

$10m Vol.

$297k today

$356k Liq.

20,361

Ends in 2 months

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Macro Geopolitics

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

49%

$2m Vol.

$94.0k Liq.

8

Ends in 11 months

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Macro Geopolitics

World Affairs

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

6%

$5m Vol.

$253k Liq.

705

Ends in 11 months

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Macro Geopolitics

Politics

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

19%

$128k Vol.

$29.7k Liq.

12

Ends in 11 months