Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

11%

$2M Vol.

$180K today

$341K Liq.

Ends em 26 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

32%

$103K Vol.

$42.0K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

8%

$8M Vol.

$272K Liq.

705

Ends em 9 meses

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

24%

$196K Vol.

$53.9K Liq.

15

Ends em 9 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

37%

$444K Vol.

$42.1K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

51%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

108

Ends em 3 meses

Ukraine military action against Moscow by...?

Ukraine military action against Moscow by...?

9%

April 30

$142K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

Ends há 4 dias

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

99%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$753K Vol.

$200K today

$26.8K Liq.

269

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

41%

$83.4K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

4

Ends em 3 meses

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

29%

7

$725K Vol.

$90.2K Liq.

23

Ends em 9 meses

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

18%

April 30

$51.7K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

18

Ends em 26 dias

China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

17%

December 31, 2026

$218K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

14

Ends há 3 meses

Grand Prix Hassan II: Luciano Darderi vs Marco Trungelliti

Grand Prix Hassan II: Luciano Darderi vs Marco Trungelliti

<1%

Luciano Darderi

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?

66%

December 31

$129K Vol.

$53.9K Liq.

3

Ends em 9 meses

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

47%

10-14

$18.5K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?

3%

April 30

$67.8K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?

66%

$1.4K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

21%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

57

Ends há 2 meses

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?

6%

$16.0K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 16 horas

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

67%

>$600M

$15M Vol.

$87.4K today

$466K Liq.

259

Ends em 3 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Macro GeopolíTica.

Polymarket currently hosts 130 active markets for Macro GeopolíTica that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $32.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 67% chance to >$600M. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Macro GeopolíTica predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.