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Macro GeopolíTica previsões e probabilidades

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

12%

$8M Vol.

$1M today

$152K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

36%

$8M Vol.

$1M today

$311K Liq.

Ends em 25 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

62%

$3M Vol.

$639K today

$210K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

<1%

$37M Vol.

$185K today

$225K Liq.

3

Ends há 6 dias

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

8%

$9M Vol.

$413K Liq.

705

Ends em 8 meses

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

25%

$215K Vol.

$38.5K Liq.

15

Ends em 8 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

67%

$544K Vol.

$51.9K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Zelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

31%

60-79

$500 Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Zelenskyy # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

44%

100-119

$14.3K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Zelenskyy # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

42%

80-99

$2.7K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Nothing Ever Happens: May

66%

Nothing

$44.0K Vol.

$24.1K Liq.

Ends em 25 dias

Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

41%

<5

$953 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Khamenei # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

30%

<5

$3.7K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

What will Marco Rubio say during the next White House press briefing?

What will Marco Rubio say during the next White House press briefing?

House / Senate

+ 29 more

$70.8K Vol.

$70.8K today

$0 Liq.

Ends há 1 dia

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

76%

Iran

$4.0K Vol.

$39.0K Liq.

5

Ends em 9 dias

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

79%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

123

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Khamenei # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

59%

5-9

$2.4K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Khamenei # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

100%

<5

$12.1K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 19 horas

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

45%

7

$1M Vol.

$681K Liq.

30

Ends em 8 meses

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?

33%

December 31

$180K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

7

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Macro GeopolíTica.

Polymarket currently hosts 140 active markets for Macro GeopolíTica that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $69.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Xi Jinping out before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Macro GeopolíTica predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.