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Política·Trump

O Partido Republicano usará a 'Opção Nuclear' para quebrar a obstrução até...?

Market icon
Política·Trump

O Partido Republicano usará a 'Opção Nuclear' para quebrar a obstrução até...?

$550,947 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$550,947 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de março de 2026

$30,793 Vol.

1%

31 de dezembro de 2026

$4,180 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republicans, holding a 53-47 majority, face mounting pressure from President Trump to invoke the nuclear option—a simple majority vote to reinterpret rules and lower the 60-vote filibuster threshold for cloture on legislation like the SAVE America Act requiring proof of citizenship for federal voter registration. Trump's March 26 call to end the filibuster entirely intensified after mid-March Senate debates on the bill stalled amid Democratic opposition, prompting discussions of procedural maneuvers without full rule changes. Majority Leader John Thune resists broad elimination due to precedent risks and uncertain GOP unity, with senators like Susan Collins voicing concerns; a floor vote could occur imminently before March 31, potentially tipping trader consensus on near-term invocation amid shutdown threats over DHS funding.

Senate Republicans, holding a 53-47 majority, face mounting pressure from President Trump to invoke the nuclear option—a simple majority vote to reinterpret rules and lower the 60-vote filibuster threshold for cloture on legislation like the SAVE America Act requiring proof of citizenship for federal voter registration. Trump's March 26 call to end the filibuster entirely intensified after mid-March Senate debates on the bill stalled amid Democratic opposition, prompting discussions of procedural maneuvers without full rule changes. Majority Leader John Thune resists broad elimination due to precedent risks and uncertain GOP unity, with senators like Susan Collins voicing concerns; a floor vote could occur imminently before March 31, potentially tipping trader consensus on near-term invocation amid shutdown threats over DHS funding.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republicans, holding a 53-47 majority, face mounting pressure from President Trump to invoke the nuclear option—a simple majority vote to reinterpret rules and lower the 60-vote filibuster threshold for cloture on legislation like the SAVE America Act requiring proof of citizenship for federal voter registration. Trump's March 26 call to end the filibuster entirely intensified after mid-March Senate debates on the bill stalled amid Democratic opposition, prompting discussions of procedural maneuvers without full rule changes. Majority Leader John Thune resists broad elimination due to precedent risks and uncertain GOP unity, with senators like Susan Collins voicing concerns; a floor vote could occur imminently before March 31, potentially tipping trader consensus on near-term invocation amid shutdown threats over DHS funding.

Senate Republicans, holding a 53-47 majority, face mounting pressure from President Trump to invoke the nuclear option—a simple majority vote to reinterpret rules and lower the 60-vote filibuster threshold for cloture on legislation like the SAVE America Act requiring proof of citizenship for federal voter registration. Trump's March 26 call to end the filibuster entirely intensified after mid-March Senate debates on the bill stalled amid Democratic opposition, prompting discussions of procedural maneuvers without full rule changes. Majority Leader John Thune resists broad elimination due to precedent risks and uncertain GOP unity, with senators like Susan Collins voicing concerns; a floor vote could occur imminently before March 31, potentially tipping trader consensus on near-term invocation amid shutdown threats over DHS funding.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"O Partido Republicano usará a 'Opção Nuclear' para quebrar a obstrução até...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 51%, followed by "31 de março de 2026" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "O Partido Republicano usará a 'Opção Nuclear' para quebrar a obstrução até...?" has generated $550.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 1, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "O Partido Republicano usará a 'Opção Nuclear' para quebrar a obstrução até...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O Partido Republicano usará a 'Opção Nuclear' para quebrar a obstrução até...?" is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "31 de março de 2026" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O Partido Republicano usará a 'Opção Nuclear' para quebrar a obstrução até...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.