President Donald Trump's announced summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping on May 14-15 in Beijing, rescheduled from late March amid the ongoing Iran conflict, has driven trader consensus to price a 96% probability on that outcome, reflecting strong diplomatic momentum despite delays. High odds for Brazilian President Lula da Silva (84%) stem from U.S. efforts to counter Chinese influence in Latin America, highlighted by Trump's recent Shield of Americas summit with regional leaders. Vladimir Putin sits at 64% following post-election outreach, though Ukraine tensions and a related short-term no-meet market at 1% by March 31 signal caution. The Iran war overshadows foreign policy, with the 2026 G20 at Trump National Doral poised for further bilaterals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$272,539 Vol.

Xi Jinping
95%

Lula da Silva
81%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
71%

Mohammed bin Salman
72%

Keir Starmer
69%

Vladimir Putin
63%

Aleksandr Lukashenko
55%

Papa Leão XIV
38%

Kim Jong Un
21%

Nick Fuentes
11%

Changpeng Zhao
22%

Nicolás Maduro
16%

Jair Bolsonaro
10%

iShowSpeed
8%

MrBeast
8%

Lai Ching-te
6%

Yoon Suk Yeol
2%
$272,539 Vol.

Xi Jinping
95%

Lula da Silva
81%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
71%

Mohammed bin Salman
72%

Keir Starmer
69%

Vladimir Putin
63%

Aleksandr Lukashenko
55%

Papa Leão XIV
38%

Kim Jong Un
21%

Nick Fuentes
11%

Changpeng Zhao
22%

Nicolás Maduro
16%

Jair Bolsonaro
10%

iShowSpeed
8%

MrBeast
8%

Lai Ching-te
6%

Yoon Suk Yeol
2%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
President Donald Trump's announced summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping on May 14-15 in Beijing, rescheduled from late March amid the ongoing Iran conflict, has driven trader consensus to price a 96% probability on that outcome, reflecting strong diplomatic momentum despite delays. High odds for Brazilian President Lula da Silva (84%) stem from U.S. efforts to counter Chinese influence in Latin America, highlighted by Trump's recent Shield of Americas summit with regional leaders. Vladimir Putin sits at 64% following post-election outreach, though Ukraine tensions and a related short-term no-meet market at 1% by March 31 signal caution. The Iran war overshadows foreign policy, with the 2026 G20 at Trump National Doral poised for further bilaterals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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