Market icon
Política·Trump

Quem visitou a Ilha de Epstein?

Market icon
Política·Trump

Quem visitou a Ilha de Epstein?

$1,586,933 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$1,586,933 Vol.

Polymarket

Richard Branson

$50,752 Vol.

22%

Kevin Spacey

$27,319 Vol.

15%

Woody Allen

$12,762 Vol.

14%

Steve Bannon

$57,673 Vol.

13%

Steven Tisch

$4,728 Vol.

11%

Deepak Chopra

$11,327 Vol.

10%

Bill Cosby

$8,860 Vol.

5%

Noam Chomsky

$25,088 Vol.

5%

Harvey Weinstein

$18,526 Vol.

5%

Michael Jackson

$153,736 Vol.

5%

Bill Gates

$98,290 Vol.

5%

Bill Clinton

$260,100 Vol.

5%

Hillary Clinton

$39,789 Vol.

4%

Donald Trump

$131,927 Vol.

3%

Peter Attia

$6,967 Vol.

3%

Jay-Z

$576,644 Vol.

3%

Elon Musk

$80,802 Vol.

2%

Marco Rubio

$21,643 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. Department of Justice's late January 2026 release of over three million Epstein files, including Little St. James flight manifests and property records, confirmed island visits by some figures like Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick but yielded no evidence for Polymarket-listed individuals such as Richard Branson, Woody Allen, or Kevin Spacey. Trader consensus reflects this, pricing "Yes" outcomes below 25% across the board amid thorough post-release scrutiny showing prior flight logs and testimonies lack specific island confirmations via court records, photos, or sworn statements. With the market resolving June 30, 2026, absent new federal disclosures or admissions, low probabilities persist despite high trading volume exceeding $1.5 million.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,586,933
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. Department of Justice's late January 2026 release of over three million Epstein files, including Little St. James flight manifests and property records, confirmed island visits by some figures like Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick but yielded no evidence for Polymarket-listed individuals such as Richard Branson, Woody Allen, or Kevin Spacey. Trader consensus reflects this, pricing "Yes" outcomes below 25% across the board amid thorough post-release scrutiny showing prior flight logs and testimonies lack specific island confirmations via court records, photos, or sworn statements. With the market resolving June 30, 2026, absent new federal disclosures or admissions, low probabilities persist despite high trading volume exceeding $1.5 million.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,586,933
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem visitou a Ilha de Epstein?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Richard Branson" at 22%, followed by "Kevin Spacey" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 22¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem visitou a Ilha de Epstein?" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem visitou a Ilha de Epstein?," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem visitou a Ilha de Epstein?" is "Richard Branson" at 22%, meaning the market assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kevin Spacey" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem visitou a Ilha de Epstein?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.