President Trump's Truth Social posts this week through March 28 have centered on the U.S.-Iran standoff over the Strait of Hormuz, issuing ultimatums like threats of strikes twenty times harder if oil flow is disrupted, reporting productive bilateral conversations, and noting allied warships deploying alongside U.S. forces, amid Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin's March 24 swearing-in. Trader consensus reflects these developments in elevated implied probabilities for conflict-themed phrases such as "Bomb / Bomber" at 32%, "Epic Fury" at 28%, and "Ayatollah / Khamenei" at 16%, alongside domestic attack terms like "Trump derangement" at 36% and "Panican" at 29%, consistent with his rhetorical patterns on foreign policy crises and political opponents. With the market window closing March 29, final posts on negotiation outcomes or executive actions could shift odds for remaining options like "NATO" or "Peace Through Strength."
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$94,304 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
Nasty
1%
Boeing
2%
Ballroom
26%
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN
8%
Panican
29%
Free Tina Peters
21%
Epic Fury
28%
Bully of the Middle East
20%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
36%
Excursion
1%
Evil Empire
2%
Ayatollah / Khamenei
16%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
5%
Democrat Shutdown
20%
Bomb / Bomber
27%
Impeach / Impeachment
5%
Spain
2%
$94,304 Vol.
Nasty
$8,831 Vol.
1%
Boeing
$10,192 Vol.
2%
Ballroom
$5,623 Vol.
26%
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN
$5,924 Vol.
8%
Panican
$8,739 Vol.
29%
Free Tina Peters
$4,119 Vol.
21%
Epic Fury
$3,383 Vol.
28%
Bully of the Middle East
$4,215 Vol.
20%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
$1,548 Vol.
36%
Excursion
$2,548 Vol.
1%
Evil Empire
$971 Vol.
2%
Ayatollah / Khamenei
$3,450 Vol.
16%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$5,714 Vol.
5%
Democrat Shutdown
$8,077 Vol.
20%
Bomb / Bomber
$5,004 Vol.
27%
Impeach / Impeachment
$5,562 Vol.
5%
Spain
$10,405 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Trump's Truth Social posts this week through March 28 have centered on the U.S.-Iran standoff over the Strait of Hormuz, issuing ultimatums like threats of strikes twenty times harder if oil flow is disrupted, reporting productive bilateral conversations, and noting allied warships deploying alongside U.S. forces, amid Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin's March 24 swearing-in. Trader consensus reflects these developments in elevated implied probabilities for conflict-themed phrases such as "Bomb / Bomber" at 32%, "Epic Fury" at 28%, and "Ayatollah / Khamenei" at 16%, alongside domestic attack terms like "Trump derangement" at 36% and "Panican" at 29%, consistent with his rhetorical patterns on foreign policy crises and political opponents. With the market window closing March 29, final posts on negotiation outcomes or executive actions could shift odds for remaining options like "NATO" or "Peace Through Strength."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$94,304Data de Término
Mar 29, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Trump's Truth Social posts this week through March 28 have centered on the U.S.-Iran standoff over the Strait of Hormuz, issuing ultimatums like threats of strikes twenty times harder if oil flow is disrupted, reporting productive bilateral conversations, and noting allied warships deploying alongside U.S. forces, amid Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin's March 24 swearing-in. Trader consensus reflects these developments in elevated implied probabilities for conflict-themed phrases such as "Bomb / Bomber" at 32%, "Epic Fury" at 28%, and "Ayatollah / Khamenei" at 16%, alongside domestic attack terms like "Trump derangement" at 36% and "Panican" at 29%, consistent with his rhetorical patterns on foreign policy crises and political opponents. With the market window closing March 29, final posts on negotiation outcomes or executive actions could shift odds for remaining options like "NATO" or "Peace Through Strength."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Volume
$94,304Data de Término
Mar 29, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's Truth Social posts this week through March 28 have centered on the U.S.-Iran standoff over the Strait of Hormuz, issuing ultimatums like threats of strikes twenty times harder if oil flow is disrupted, reporting productive bilateral conversations, and noting allied warships deploying alongside U.S. forces, amid Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin's March 24 swearing-in. Trader consensus reflects these developments in elevated implied probabilities for conflict-themed phrases such as "Bomb / Bomber" at 32%, "Epic Fury" at 28%, and "Ayatollah / Khamenei" at 16%, alongside domestic attack terms like "Trump derangement" at 36% and "Panican" at 29%, consistent with his rhetorical patterns on foreign policy crises and political opponents. With the market window closing March 29, final posts on negotiation outcomes or executive actions could shift odds for remaining options like "NATO" or "Peace Through Strength."
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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