Amid escalating US-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military and nuclear sites since late February 2026, Iran has intensified retaliatory missile and drone attacks on US bases in Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Israel, with a March 27 strike on Saudi Arabia's Prince Sultan Air Base wounding over a dozen US troops and damaging an E-3 Sentry surveillance aircraft. Tehran dismissed a US ceasefire proposal on March 25 while launching further assaults on Gulf infrastructure, including Kuwait's international airport. President Trump extended a Strait of Hormuz deadline to April 6, but traders weigh Iran's depleted missile stocks against vows of targeting Dimona reactor or regional energy assets before March 31, amid no-confidence in de-escalation signals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoO que o Irão vai atacar até 31 de março?
O que o Irão vai atacar até 31 de março?
$451,984 Vol.
Dimona (Centro de Pesquisa Nuclear Shimon Peres Negev)
3%
Burj Khalifa
4%
Campo de Ghawar
9%
Campo Safaniya
9%
instalação de processamento de petróleo de Abqaiq
10%
Refinaria de Al Zour
12%
Leviathan Field
7%
Khurais Field
12%
Ras Tanura
6%
East–West Pipeline
8%
Campo/Complexo de Processamento de Habshan
13%
Ras Laffan Industrial City
24%
$451,984 Vol.
Dimona (Centro de Pesquisa Nuclear Shimon Peres Negev)
$251,505 Vol.
3%
Burj Khalifa
$1,339 Vol.
4%
Campo de Ghawar
$30,358 Vol.
9%
Campo Safaniya
$39,832 Vol.
9%
instalação de processamento de petróleo de Abqaiq
$39,532 Vol.
10%
Refinaria de Al Zour
$74,117 Vol.
12%
Leviathan Field
$1,106 Vol.
7%
Khurais Field
$4,598 Vol.
12%
Ras Tanura
$4,421 Vol.
6%
East–West Pipeline
$1,306 Vol.
8%
Campo/Complexo de Processamento de Habshan
$0 Vol.
13%
Ras Laffan Industrial City
$3,869 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed city/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed pipeline/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.Amid escalating US-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military and nuclear sites since late February 2026, Iran has intensified retaliatory missile and drone attacks on US bases in Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Israel, with a March 27 strike on Saudi Arabia's Prince Sultan Air Base wounding over a dozen US troops and damaging an E-3 Sentry surveillance aircraft. Tehran dismissed a US ceasefire proposal on March 25 while launching further assaults on Gulf infrastructure, including Kuwait's international airport. President Trump extended a Strait of Hormuz deadline to April 6, but traders weigh Iran's depleted missile stocks against vows of targeting Dimona reactor or regional energy assets before March 31, amid no-confidence in de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed pipeline/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Volume
$451,984Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed city/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed pipeline/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.Amid escalating US-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military and nuclear sites since late February 2026, Iran has intensified retaliatory missile and drone attacks on US bases in Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Israel, with a March 27 strike on Saudi Arabia's Prince Sultan Air Base wounding over a dozen US troops and damaging an E-3 Sentry surveillance aircraft. Tehran dismissed a US ceasefire proposal on March 25 while launching further assaults on Gulf infrastructure, including Kuwait's international airport. President Trump extended a Strait of Hormuz deadline to April 6, but traders weigh Iran's depleted missile stocks against vows of targeting Dimona reactor or regional energy assets before March 31, amid no-confidence in de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed pipeline/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Volume
$451,984Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid escalating US-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military and nuclear sites since late February 2026, Iran has intensified retaliatory missile and drone attacks on US bases in Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Israel, with a March 27 strike on Saudi Arabia's Prince Sultan Air Base wounding over a dozen US troops and damaging an E-3 Sentry surveillance aircraft. Tehran dismissed a US ceasefire proposal on March 25 while launching further assaults on Gulf infrastructure, including Kuwait's international airport. President Trump extended a Strait of Hormuz deadline to April 6, but traders weigh Iran's depleted missile stocks against vows of targeting Dimona reactor or regional energy assets before March 31, amid no-confidence in de-escalation signals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions