Amid heightened US-Iran tensions in the ongoing war that began with US-Israel airstrikes on February 28, 2026, targeting Iranian military infrastructure and leadership, President Trump stated on April 1 that core objectives are nearing completion with involvement projected to end in two to three weeks. Recent deployments of over 10,000 elite US troops—including Marines, 82nd Airborne, and Rangers—have swelled regional forces beyond 50,000, fueling speculation of a potential ground phase despite analysts noting insufficient numbers for a full invasion. Iran has retaliated with missile and drone strikes on US assets, including claimed attacks on the USS Abraham Lincoln, while threatening regional US troops. Diplomatic signals via mediators and Trump's threats of oil seizures or power plant strikes loom as traders assess escalation risks against de-escalation rhetoric ahead of possible negotiations or further airstrikes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAs forças dos EUA entram no Irã por...?
As forças dos EUA entram no Irã por...?
$95,470,550 Vol.
3 mar 2026
31 de março
<1%
30 de abril
56%
31 de dezembro
67%
$95,470,550 Vol.
31 de março
$67,621,859 Vol.
<1%
30 de abril
$17,433,264 Vol.
56%
31 de dezembro
$8,382,369 Vol.
67%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify.Amid heightened US-Iran tensions in the ongoing war that began with US-Israel airstrikes on February 28, 2026, targeting Iranian military infrastructure and leadership, President Trump stated on April 1 that core objectives are nearing completion with involvement projected to end in two to three weeks. Recent deployments of over 10,000 elite US troops—including Marines, 82nd Airborne, and Rangers—have swelled regional forces beyond 50,000, fueling speculation of a potential ground phase despite analysts noting insufficient numbers for a full invasion. Iran has retaliated with missile and drone strikes on US assets, including claimed attacks on the USS Abraham Lincoln, while threatening regional US troops. Diplomatic signals via mediators and Trump's threats of oil seizures or power plant strikes loom as traders assess escalation risks against de-escalation rhetoric ahead of possible negotiations or further airstrikes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 28, 2026, 8:59 AM ET
Volume
$95,470,550Mercado Aberto
Feb 28, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify.Amid heightened US-Iran tensions in the ongoing war that began with US-Israel airstrikes on February 28, 2026, targeting Iranian military infrastructure and leadership, President Trump stated on April 1 that core objectives are nearing completion with involvement projected to end in two to three weeks. Recent deployments of over 10,000 elite US troops—including Marines, 82nd Airborne, and Rangers—have swelled regional forces beyond 50,000, fueling speculation of a potential ground phase despite analysts noting insufficient numbers for a full invasion. Iran has retaliated with missile and drone strikes on US assets, including claimed attacks on the USS Abraham Lincoln, while threatening regional US troops. Diplomatic signals via mediators and Trump's threats of oil seizures or power plant strikes loom as traders assess escalation risks against de-escalation rhetoric ahead of possible negotiations or further airstrikes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$95,470,550Mercado Aberto
Feb 28, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Amid heightened US-Iran tensions in the ongoing war that began with US-Israel airstrikes on February 28, 2026, targeting Iranian military infrastructure and leadership, President Trump stated on April 1 that core objectives are nearing completion with involvement projected to end in two to three weeks. Recent deployments of over 10,000 elite US troops—including Marines, 82nd Airborne, and Rangers—have swelled regional forces beyond 50,000, fueling speculation of a potential ground phase despite analysts noting insufficient numbers for a full invasion. Iran has retaliated with missile and drone strikes on US assets, including claimed attacks on the USS Abraham Lincoln, while threatening regional US troops. Diplomatic signals via mediators and Trump's threats of oil seizures or power plant strikes loom as traders assess escalation risks against de-escalation rhetoric ahead of possible negotiations or further airstrikes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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