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Política·Congresso

Membro do Congresso dos EUA sobre os arquivos de Epstein até 30 de abril?

Market icon
Política·Congresso

Membro do Congresso dos EUA sobre os arquivos de Epstein até 30 de abril?

Sim

3% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

3% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify. An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward. Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.The Department of Justice's release of millions of Epstein files in February and March 2026, mandated by the bipartisan Epstein Files Transparency Act, prompted congressional reviews of unredacted documents by members including Reps. Thomas Massie (R-KY) and Ro Khanna (D-CA), yet no sitting U.S. House or Senate member has resigned or faced expulsion over any revelations. Fallout has primarily affected executives, academics, and foreign officials worldwide, with U.S. lawmakers highlighting DOJ redactions but implicating no current colleagues in misconduct. This absence of domestic political consequences, combined with no scheduled further disclosures before the April 30 deadline, underpins trader consensus implying 97% probability of "No." A sudden leak, ethics investigation, or ethics committee action could still prompt an unforeseen resignation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.

An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.

Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.

The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,771
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 20, 2025, 5:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify. An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward. Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify. An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward. Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.The Department of Justice's release of millions of Epstein files in February and March 2026, mandated by the bipartisan Epstein Files Transparency Act, prompted congressional reviews of unredacted documents by members including Reps. Thomas Massie (R-KY) and Ro Khanna (D-CA), yet no sitting U.S. House or Senate member has resigned or faced expulsion over any revelations. Fallout has primarily affected executives, academics, and foreign officials worldwide, with U.S. lawmakers highlighting DOJ redactions but implicating no current colleagues in misconduct. This absence of domestic political consequences, combined with no scheduled further disclosures before the April 30 deadline, underpins trader consensus implying 97% probability of "No." A sudden leak, ethics investigation, or ethics committee action could still prompt an unforeseen resignation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.

An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.

Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.

The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,771
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 20, 2025, 5:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify. An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward. Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Membro do Congresso dos EUA sobre os arquivos de Epstein até 30 de abril?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Membro do Congresso dos EUA fora por causa dos arquivos de Epstein até 30 de abril?" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 3¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 3% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Membro do Congresso dos EUA sobre os arquivos de Epstein até 30 de abril?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 20, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Membro do Congresso dos EUA sobre os arquivos de Epstein até 30 de abril?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Membro do Congresso dos EUA sobre os arquivos de Epstein até 30 de abril?" is "Membro do Congresso dos EUA fora por causa dos arquivos de Epstein até 30 de abril?" at just 3%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Membro do Congresso dos EUA sobre os arquivos de Epstein até 30 de abril?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.