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Eleições·Canadá

University—Rosedale By-Election Winner

Market icon
Eleições·Canadá

University—Rosedale By-Election Winner

Danielle Martin 100.0%

Imran Khan <1%

Andy D’Andrea <1%

Leslie Bory <1%

Polymarket

$88,908 Vol.

Danielle Martin 100.0%

Imran Khan <1%

Andy D’Andrea <1%

Leslie Bory <1%

Polymarket

$88,908 Vol.

Will Imran Khan win the by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Imran Khan

$2,126 Vol.

No

Will Andy D’Andrea win the by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Andy D’Andrea

$2,301 Vol.

No

Will Leslie Bory win the by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Leslie Bory

$697 Vol.

No

Will Bill Whatcott win the by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Bill Whatcott

$691 Vol.

No

Will Danielle Martin win the by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Danielle Martin

$65,207 Vol.

Yes

Will Don Hodgson win the by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Don Hodgson

$13,768 Vol.

No

Will Serena Purdy win the by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Serena Purdy

$848 Vol.

No

Will Andrew Massey win the by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Andrew Massey

$691 Vol.

No

Will Samuel Baxter win the by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Samuel Baxter

$1,887 Vol.

No

Will Raiden DeDominicis win the by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Raiden DeDominicis

$691 Vol.

No

A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Liberal candidate Danielle Martin clinched victory in the University—Rosedale federal by-election held April 13, propelling trader consensus to 100% on her as the winner and resolving the Polymarket accordingly. The downtown Toronto riding, vacated by former Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland, saw Martin—a family physician and health advocate—secure roughly 64% of votes in unofficial tallies, far ahead of Conservative Don Hodgson (12%), NDP's Serena Purdy (19%), People's Party's Andy D’Andrea, and others including Samuel Baxter. This Liberal hold in a traditional stronghold delivers Prime Minister Mark Carney's government a 172nd seat and majority status in the House of Commons. Realistic challenges, such as a judicial recount or legal dispute over irregularities, appear improbable given her decisive margin exceeding 20 points.

A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Volume
$88,908
Data de Término
13 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

Resultado proposto: Yes

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Yes

A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Liberal candidate Danielle Martin clinched victory in the University—Rosedale federal by-election held April 13, propelling trader consensus to 100% on her as the winner and resolving the Polymarket accordingly. The downtown Toronto riding, vacated by former Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland, saw Martin—a family physician and health advocate—secure roughly 64% of votes in unofficial tallies, far ahead of Conservative Don Hodgson (12%), NDP's Serena Purdy (19%), People's Party's Andy D’Andrea, and others including Samuel Baxter. This Liberal hold in a traditional stronghold delivers Prime Minister Mark Carney's government a 172nd seat and majority status in the House of Commons. Realistic challenges, such as a judicial recount or legal dispute over irregularities, appear improbable given her decisive margin exceeding 20 points.

A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Volume
$88,908
Data de Término
13 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

Resultado proposto: Yes

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"University—Rosedale By-Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Danielle Martin" at 100%, followed by "Imran Khan" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "University—Rosedale By-Election Winner" has generated $88.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "University—Rosedale By-Election Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "University—Rosedale By-Election Winner" is "Danielle Martin" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Imran Khan" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "University—Rosedale By-Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.