Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's approval rating on March 27 in the 40.0–40.4% range at 53% implied probability, closely trailed by under 40% at 42%, reflecting stagnant or slightly declining polling averages from Gallup, Rasmussen, and Quinnipiac over the past week hovering around 41–42%. Recent catalysts include backlash to executive orders on border security and H-1B visa pauses, which boosted support among core Republican voters but alienated moderates and independents, alongside stock market volatility tied to tariff announcements eroding economic optimism. No major upward drivers have emerged since inauguration, with upcoming cabinet confirmation hearings and fiscal policy debates poised to influence late-March surveys.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTrump approval rating on March 27?
Trump approval rating on March 27?
40.0–40.4 53%
<40.0 41%
40.5–40.9 3.3%
41.0–41.4 <1%
$39,361 Vol.
$39,361 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
<40.0
41%
40.0–40.4
53%
40.5–40.9
3%
41.0–41.4
<1%
41.5–41.9
<1%
42.0+
<1%
40.0–40.4 53%
<40.0 41%
40.5–40.9 3.3%
41.0–41.4 <1%
$39,361 Vol.
$39,361 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
<40.0
$11,056 Vol.
41%
40.0–40.4
$9,228 Vol.
53%
40.5–40.9
$5,973 Vol.
3%
41.0–41.4
$4,096 Vol.
<1%
41.5–41.9
$4,285 Vol.
<1%
42.0+
$4,724 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on March 27, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's approval rating on March 27 in the 40.0–40.4% range at 53% implied probability, closely trailed by under 40% at 42%, reflecting stagnant or slightly declining polling averages from Gallup, Rasmussen, and Quinnipiac over the past week hovering around 41–42%. Recent catalysts include backlash to executive orders on border security and H-1B visa pauses, which boosted support among core Republican voters but alienated moderates and independents, alongside stock market volatility tied to tariff announcements eroding economic optimism. No major upward drivers have emerged since inauguration, with upcoming cabinet confirmation hearings and fiscal policy debates poised to influence late-March surveys.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on March 27, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Volume
$39,361Data de Término
Mar 28, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on March 27, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's approval rating on March 27 in the 40.0–40.4% range at 53% implied probability, closely trailed by under 40% at 42%, reflecting stagnant or slightly declining polling averages from Gallup, Rasmussen, and Quinnipiac over the past week hovering around 41–42%. Recent catalysts include backlash to executive orders on border security and H-1B visa pauses, which boosted support among core Republican voters but alienated moderates and independents, alongside stock market volatility tied to tariff announcements eroding economic optimism. No major upward drivers have emerged since inauguration, with upcoming cabinet confirmation hearings and fiscal policy debates poised to influence late-March surveys.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on March 27, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$39,361Data de Término
Mar 28, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's approval rating on March 27 in the 40.0–40.4% range at 53% implied probability, closely trailed by under 40% at 42%, reflecting stagnant or slightly declining polling averages from Gallup, Rasmussen, and Quinnipiac over the past week hovering around 41–42%. Recent catalysts include backlash to executive orders on border security and H-1B visa pauses, which boosted support among core Republican voters but alienated moderates and independents, alongside stock market volatility tied to tariff announcements eroding economic optimism. No major upward drivers have emerged since inauguration, with upcoming cabinet confirmation hearings and fiscal policy debates poised to influence late-March surveys.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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