Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas

Name: Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas
Start: 2025-07-10T21:36:35.289Z
End: 2026-05-26T00:00:00.000Z

Política·Eleições Nos EUA

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas

May 26

John Cornyn 55%

Ken Paxton 45%

Dawn Buckingham <1%

Beth Van Duyne <1%

$12,491,550 Vol.

May 26, 2026

John Cornyn

$2,648,985 Vol.

55%

Ken Paxton

$3,828,366 Vol.

45%

Dawn Buckingham

$873,024 Vol.

<1%

Beth Van Duyne

$3,442,245 Vol.

<1%

Wesley Hunt

$1,698,929 Vol.

<1%

John Cornyn 55%

Ken Paxton 45%

Dawn Buckingham <1%

Beth Van Duyne <1%

$12,491,550 Vol.

May 26, 2026

John Cornyn

$2,648,985 Vol.

55%

Ken Paxton

$3,828,366 Vol.

45%

Dawn Buckingham

$873,024 Vol.

<1%

Beth Van Duyne

$3,442,245 Vol.

<1%

Wesley Hunt

$1,698,929 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Trader consensus slightly favors incumbent Sen. John Cornyn at 55% to win the Texas Republican Senate primary over challenger Attorney General Ken Paxton at 45%, with minor candidates like Dawn Buckingham, Beth Van Duyne, and Wesley Hunt at negligible odds. Cornyn benefits from incumbency, $4 million-plus cash on hand, and establishment GOP backing, while Paxton's recent campaign launch and a Texas Public Opinion Research poll (April 18-21) showing him ahead 53-29 among primary voters reflect his strong appeal to the Trump-aligned base criticizing Cornyn's conservative credentials. Paxton's legal challenges, including a deferred securities fraud trial, temper his momentum, but fundraising reports and potential endorsements loom as key catalysts ahead of the March 2026 primary.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado Mar 21, 2026, 11:14 PM UTC

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "John Cornyn" at 55%, followed by "Ken Paxton" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas" has generated $12.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas" is "John Cornyn" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ken Paxton" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $12.5 million traded on “Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 55¢ for "John Cornyn" in the "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 55% chance that "John Cornyn" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 55¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 45¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas" market is scheduled to resolve on or around May 26, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas" market has an active community of 111 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Contexto de Mercado

Comentários (111)

Top Holders

Cargos

Actividade

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