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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul

Dusty Johnson 52%

Toby Doeden 36%

Larry Rhoden 10%

Jon Hansen 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Dusty Johnson 52%

Toby Doeden 36%

Larry Rhoden 10%

Jon Hansen 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Dusty Johnson

$2,644 Vol.

52%

Toby Doeden

$0 Vol.

36%

Larry Rhoden

$0 Vol.

10%

Jon Hansen

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson at 52% implied probability to win the South Dakota Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his leading position in a July 2024 South Dakota News Watch poll (51% support) and superior fundraising, with over $1 million raised since announcing his candidacy in May. State Sen. Toby Doeden trails at 36%, gaining from grassroots conservative backing and recent momentum after entering the race in June, appealing to the party's right flank amid Lt. Gov. Larry Rhoden's 9.5% share bolstered by name recognition but limited polling strength. No major shifts in the past week, though Johnson's congressional incumbency and broad appeal solidify his edge ahead of the June 2026 primary.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson at 52% implied probability to win the South Dakota Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his leading position in a July 2024 South Dakota News Watch poll (51% support) and superior fundraising, with over $1 million raised since announcing his candidacy in May. State Sen. Toby Doeden trails at 36%, gaining from grassroots conservative backing and recent momentum after entering the race in June, appealing to the party's right flank amid Lt. Gov. Larry Rhoden's 9.5% share bolstered by name recognition but limited polling strength. No major shifts in the past week, though Johnson's congressional incumbency and broad appeal solidify his edge ahead of the June 2026 primary.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson at 52% implied probability to win the South Dakota Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his leading position in a July 2024 South Dakota News Watch poll (51% support) and superior fundraising, with over $1 million raised since announcing his candidacy in May. State Sen. Toby Doeden trails at 36%, gaining from grassroots conservative backing and recent momentum after entering the race in June, appealing to the party's right flank amid Lt. Gov. Larry Rhoden's 9.5% share bolstered by name recognition but limited polling strength. No major shifts in the past week, though Johnson's congressional incumbency and broad appeal solidify his edge ahead of the June 2026 primary.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson at 52% implied probability to win the South Dakota Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his leading position in a July 2024 South Dakota News Watch poll (51% support) and superior fundraising, with over $1 million raised since announcing his candidacy in May. State Sen. Toby Doeden trails at 36%, gaining from grassroots conservative backing and recent momentum after entering the race in June, appealing to the party's right flank amid Lt. Gov. Larry Rhoden's 9.5% share bolstered by name recognition but limited polling strength. No major shifts in the past week, though Johnson's congressional incumbency and broad appeal solidify his edge ahead of the June 2026 primary.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dusty Johnson" at 52%, followed by "Toby Doeden" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 11, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul" is "Dusty Johnson" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Toby Doeden" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.