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Política·Eleições Nos EUA

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

Market icon
Política·Eleições Nos EUA

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

J.D. Vance 36.8%

Marco Rubio 21.1%

Tucker Carlson 5.0%

Ron DeSantis 2.8%

Polymarket

$480,109,347 Vol.

J.D. Vance 36.8%

Marco Rubio 21.1%

Tucker Carlson 5.0%

Ron DeSantis 2.8%

Polymarket

$480,109,347 Vol.

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J.D. Vance

$6,668,068 Vol.

37%

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Marco Rubio

$6,521,578 Vol.

21%

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Tucker Carlson

$7,056,826 Vol.

5%

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Ron DeSantis

$7,740,677 Vol.

3%

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Donald Trump

$6,166,333 Vol.

2%

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Thomas Massie

$2,632,291 Vol.

2%

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Glenn Youngkin

$5,482,915 Vol.

1%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$5,761,677 Vol.

1%

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Rand Paul

$15,884,839 Vol.

1%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$12,205,911 Vol.

1%

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Ivanka Trump

$4,828,183 Vol.

1%

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Ted Cruz

$13,782,235 Vol.

1%

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Elon Musk

$21,538,684 Vol.

1%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$3,814,652 Vol.

1%

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Nikki Haley

$7,025,928 Vol.

1%

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Greg Abbott

$17,084,298 Vol.

1%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$8,838,660 Vol.

1%

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Matt Gaetz

$15,053,076 Vol.

1%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$10,780,735 Vol.

1%

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Brian Kemp

$12,725,466 Vol.

1%

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Eric Trump

$3,759,224 Vol.

1%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$27,853,875 Vol.

1%

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Josh Hawley

$15,365,212 Vol.

1%

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Katie Britt

$24,129,142 Vol.

1%

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Kristi Noem

$27,633,792 Vol.

1%

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Pete Hegseth

$1,152,730 Vol.

1%

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Byron Donalds

$32,495,925 Vol.

1%

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Elise Stefanik

$20,862,082 Vol.

1%

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John Thune

$28,352,968 Vol.

1%

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Joe Kent

$1,601,995 Vol.

1%

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Tom Brady

$27,394,582 Vol.

1%

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Steve Bannon

$14,302,653 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$22,442,516 Vol.

1%

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Erika Kirk

$9,540,740 Vol.

1%

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Mike Pence

$31,630,355 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.With Donald Trump's second term barred by constitutional term limits, the 2028 Republican presidential nomination represents an open primary field where traders favor Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% implied probability, boosted by his November 14 nomination as HHS Secretary, elevating his national profile and Trump-aligned appeal amid health policy debates. J.D. Vance holds strong at 36.8% as vice president-elect, benefiting from incumbency advantages and historical precedents favoring VPs in open races. Marco Rubio's 21.1% reflects his recent Secretary of State nomination, enhancing his foreign policy credentials for swing-state electoral math. Recent transition announcements dominate sentiment, with confirmation hearings ahead as key catalysts before distant primaries.

With Donald Trump's second term barred by constitutional term limits, the 2028 Republican presidential nomination represents an open primary field where traders favor Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% implied probability, boosted by his November 14 nomination as HHS Secretary, elevating his national profile and Trump-aligned appeal amid health policy debates. J.D. Vance holds strong at 36.8% as vice president-elect, benefiting from incumbency advantages and historical precedents favoring VPs in open races. Marco Rubio's 21.1% reflects his recent Secretary of State nomination, enhancing his foreign policy credentials for swing-state electoral math. Recent transition announcements dominate sentiment, with confirmation hearings ahead as key catalysts before distant primaries.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.With Donald Trump's second term barred by constitutional term limits, the 2028 Republican presidential nomination represents an open primary field where traders favor Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% implied probability, boosted by his November 14 nomination as HHS Secretary, elevating his national profile and Trump-aligned appeal amid health policy debates. J.D. Vance holds strong at 36.8% as vice president-elect, benefiting from incumbency advantages and historical precedents favoring VPs in open races. Marco Rubio's 21.1% reflects his recent Secretary of State nomination, enhancing his foreign policy credentials for swing-state electoral math. Recent transition announcements dominate sentiment, with confirmation hearings ahead as key catalysts before distant primaries.

With Donald Trump's second term barred by constitutional term limits, the 2028 Republican presidential nomination represents an open primary field where traders favor Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% implied probability, boosted by his November 14 nomination as HHS Secretary, elevating his national profile and Trump-aligned appeal amid health policy debates. J.D. Vance holds strong at 36.8% as vice president-elect, benefiting from incumbency advantages and historical precedents favoring VPs in open races. Marco Rubio's 21.1% reflects his recent Secretary of State nomination, enhancing his foreign policy credentials for swing-state electoral math. Recent transition announcements dominate sentiment, with confirmation hearings ahead as key catalysts before distant primaries.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, followed by "Marco Rubio" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" has generated $480.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.