Market icon
Política·Eleições Nos EUA

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

Market icon
Política·Eleições Nos EUA

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

J.D. Vance 36.9%

Marco Rubio 21.3%

Tucker Carlson 5.1%

Ron DeSantis 2.9%

Polymarket

$482,579,181 Vol.

J.D. Vance 36.9%

Marco Rubio 21.3%

Tucker Carlson 5.1%

Ron DeSantis 2.9%

Polymarket

$482,579,181 Vol.

Market icon

J.D. Vance

$6,716,665 Vol.

37%

Market icon

Marco Rubio

$6,531,622 Vol.

21%

Market icon

Tucker Carlson

$7,099,013 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Ron DeSantis

$7,783,857 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Donald Trump

$6,208,480 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Donald Trump Jr.

$5,805,700 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Thomas Massie

$2,640,212 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Glenn Youngkin

$5,509,362 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Rand Paul

$15,908,269 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Vivek Ramaswamy

$12,263,430 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Ivanka Trump

$4,850,916 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Elon Musk

$21,601,514 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$3,851,529 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Nikki Haley

$7,065,347 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Greg Abbott

$17,111,674 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Ted Cruz

$13,832,463 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tulsi Gabbard

$8,874,492 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Matt Gaetz

$15,082,888 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$10,817,073 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Brian Kemp

$12,757,905 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Eric Trump

$3,777,817 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$27,867,611 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Josh Hawley

$15,428,232 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Katie Britt

$24,176,986 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Kristi Noem

$27,721,052 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Pete Hegseth

$1,266,077 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Elise Stefanik

$21,118,871 Vol.

1%

Market icon

John Thune

$28,529,556 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Joe Kent

$1,650,841 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tom Brady

$27,462,731 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Steve Bannon

$14,431,907 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Kim Kardashian

$22,584,384 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Byron Donalds

$32,640,049 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Erika Kirk

$9,726,389 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Mike Pence

$31,886,786 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 49%, ahead of Vice President J.D. Vance (37%) and Secretary of State Marco Rubio (21%), reflecting HHS Secretary Kennedy's rising profile through MAHA health reforms amid recent White House efforts to rein him in as a midterm liability. Recent New Hampshire polls capture Vance's dip—from 57% to around 43%—tied to muted responses on President Trump's Iran military actions, eroding his America First credentials, while Rubio surges 18 points to 27% on foreign policy strengths. With Trump term-limited, the crowded field awaits 2026 midterms and early primary signals.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 49%, ahead of Vice President J.D. Vance (37%) and Secretary of State Marco Rubio (21%), reflecting HHS Secretary Kennedy's rising profile through MAHA health reforms amid recent White House efforts to rein him in as a midterm liability. Recent New Hampshire polls capture Vance's dip—from 57% to around 43%—tied to muted responses on President Trump's Iran military actions, eroding his America First credentials, while Rubio surges 18 points to 27% on foreign policy strengths. With Trump term-limited, the crowded field awaits 2026 midterms and early primary signals.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 49%, ahead of Vice President J.D. Vance (37%) and Secretary of State Marco Rubio (21%), reflecting HHS Secretary Kennedy's rising profile through MAHA health reforms amid recent White House efforts to rein him in as a midterm liability. Recent New Hampshire polls capture Vance's dip—from 57% to around 43%—tied to muted responses on President Trump's Iran military actions, eroding his America First credentials, while Rubio surges 18 points to 27% on foreign policy strengths. With Trump term-limited, the crowded field awaits 2026 midterms and early primary signals.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 49%, ahead of Vice President J.D. Vance (37%) and Secretary of State Marco Rubio (21%), reflecting HHS Secretary Kennedy's rising profile through MAHA health reforms amid recent White House efforts to rein him in as a midterm liability. Recent New Hampshire polls capture Vance's dip—from 57% to around 43%—tied to muted responses on President Trump's Iran military actions, eroding his America First credentials, while Rubio surges 18 points to 27% on foreign policy strengths. With Trump term-limited, the crowded field awaits 2026 midterms and early primary signals.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, followed by "Marco Rubio" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" has generated $482.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.