Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 40-45mm total precipitation in Seoul for March 2026 at 99.5% implied probability, anchored by the Korean Meteorological Administration's (KMA) official gauge measurements from the Seoul observatory, which recorded accumulated rainfall near the upper end of this bin following light rain events on multiple days and early-month snow with liquid equivalent contributions. This aligns closely with the March climatological normal of around 47mm, amid warmer-than-average spring conditions that limited extreme downpours but sustained typical frontal system moisture. While final KMA monthly verification is pending, revisions are rare post-observational closure; a challenge would require anomalous data corrections from gauge malfunctions or unaccounted snowfall melt, though current telemetry supports the positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoPrecipitation in Seoul in March?
Precipitation in Seoul in March?
40-45mm 99.5%
30-35mm <1%
50-55mm <1%
<30mm <1%
$54,212 Vol.
$54,212 Vol.
<30mm
<1%
30-35mm
1%
35-40mm
<1%
40-45mm
100%
45-50mm
<1%
50-55mm
1%
55-60mm
<1%
60 mm+
<1%
40-45mm 99.5%
30-35mm <1%
50-55mm <1%
<30mm <1%
$54,212 Vol.
$54,212 Vol.
<30mm
<1%
30-35mm
1%
35-40mm
<1%
40-45mm
100%
45-50mm
<1%
50-55mm
1%
55-60mm
<1%
60 mm+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 13, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 40-45mm total precipitation in Seoul for March 2026 at 99.5% implied probability, anchored by the Korean Meteorological Administration's (KMA) official gauge measurements from the Seoul observatory, which recorded accumulated rainfall near the upper end of this bin following light rain events on multiple days and early-month snow with liquid equivalent contributions. This aligns closely with the March climatological normal of around 47mm, amid warmer-than-average spring conditions that limited extreme downpours but sustained typical frontal system moisture. While final KMA monthly verification is pending, revisions are rare post-observational closure; a challenge would require anomalous data corrections from gauge malfunctions or unaccounted snowfall melt, though current telemetry supports the positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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