Clima

Temperatura

Highest temperature in Madrid on June 21?

39°C

53%

Yes No

40°C

26%

Yes No

NOVO

$24K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in London on June 21?

30°C

35%

Yes No

29°C

31%

Yes No

NOVO

$23K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 21?

33°C

42%

Yes No

32°C

26%

Yes No

NOVO

$23K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Seoul on June 21?

27°C

31%

Yes No

28°C

23%

Yes No

NOVO

$22K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 21?

25°C

27%

Yes No

27°C

27%

Yes No

NOVO

$19K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Wellington on June 21?

16°C

43%

Yes No

17°C

35%

Yes No

NOVO

$16K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Paris on June 21?

37°C

37%

Yes No

36°C

32%

Yes No

NOVO

$15K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Singapore on June 21?

31°C

38%

Yes No

30°C

34%

Yes No

NOVO

$15K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 21?

28°C

33%

Yes No

27°C

27%

Yes No

NOVO

$15K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 21?

29°C

28%

Yes No

28°C

21%

Yes No

NOVO

$15K Vol.

Diariamente

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 21?

28°C

75%

Yes No

29°C

19%

Yes No

NOVO

$14K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 21?

25°C or below

57%

Yes No

26°C

23%

Yes No

NOVO

$13K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 21?

30°C or below

54%

Yes No

31°C

20%

Yes No

NOVO

$11K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Milan on June 21?

36°C

40%

Yes No

35°C

33%

Yes No

NOVO

$11K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Ankara on June 21?

26°C

36%

Yes No

25°C

35%

Yes No

NOVO

$11K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Taipei on June 21?

36°C

29%

Yes No

35°C

24%

Yes No

NOVO

$11K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 21?

32°C

29%

Yes No

33°C

28%

Yes No

NOVO

$11K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Beijing on June 21?

30°C

33%

Yes No

29°C

32%

Yes No

NOVO

$11K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 21?

29°C

31%

Yes No

28°C

27%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 21?

35°C

32%

Yes No

36°C

29%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Helsinki on June 21?

26°C

36%

Yes No

25°C

23%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 21?

41°C

36%

Yes No

40°C

35%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on June 21?

32°C

36%

Yes No

31°C

35%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Busan on June 21?

29°C

37%

Yes No

28°C

33%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Jeddah on June 21?

36°C

34%

Yes No

37°C

31%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Manila on June 21?

34°C

38%

Yes No

35°C

29%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 21?

30°C

42%

Yes No

29°C

38%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 21?

27°C

38%

Yes No

28°C

33%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Munich on June 21?

33°C

39%

Yes No

34°C

27%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Lowest temperature in Paris on June 21?

20°C

35%

Yes No

21°C

30%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 21?

22°C

51%

Yes No

21°C

33%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 21?

19°C

35%

Yes No

20°C

33%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 21?

23°C

34%

Yes No

24°C

26%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 21?

30°C

32%

Yes No

31°C

26%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Karachi on June 21?

34°C

52%

Yes No

35°C

35%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 21?

26°C

31%

Yes No

25°C

31%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Chicago on June 21?

72-73°F

26%

Yes No

70-71°F

24%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Moscow on June 21?

24°C

33%

Yes No

23°C

32%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 21?

24°C

40%

Yes No

23°C

36%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Lowest temperature in London on June 21?

19°C

40%

Yes No

18°C

33%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Miami on June 21?

92-93°F

39%

Yes No

90-91°F

35%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in NYC on June 21?

84-85°F

34%

Yes No

82-83°F

33%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Atlanta on June 21?

88-89°F

31%

Yes No

86-87°F

29%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 21?

22°C

35%

Yes No

23°C

30%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Seattle on June 21?

78-79°F

33%

Yes No

80-81°F

25%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Lowest temperature in Miami on June 21?

78-79°F

34%

Yes No

80-81°F

33%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Toronto on June 21?

25°C

33%

Yes No

24°C

26%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 21?

15°C

37%

Yes No

14°C

32%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 21?

66-67°F

27%

Yes No

68-69°F

19%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Austin on June 21?

92-93°F

25%

Yes No

94-95°F

22%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Dallas on June 21?

92-93°F

35%

Yes No

94-95°F

24%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Houston on June 21?

90-91°F

33%

Yes No

88-89°F

22%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Lowest temperature in NYC on June 21?

68-69°F

35%

Yes No

66-67°F

37%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Denver on June 21?

88-89°F

24%

Yes No

90-91°F

21%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 21?

68-69°F

40%

Yes No

70-71°F

28%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Panama City on June 21?

31°C

31%

Yes No

30°C

26%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 21?

25°C

36%

Yes No

26°C

27%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Precipitação

Precipitation in Seattle in June?

1.5-2"

51%

Yes No

2.5-3"

44%

Yes No

NOVO

Mensalmente

Precipitation in London in June?

70-80mm

44%

Yes No

40-50mm

Yes No

NOVO

Mensalmente

Precipitation in NYC in June?

3-4"

Yes No

2-3"

27%

Yes No

NOVO

Mensalmente

Precipitation in Seoul in June?

160mm+

37%

Yes No

110-120mm

21%

Yes No

NOVO

Mensalmente

Precipitation in Hong Kong in June?

500mm+

100%

Yes No

475-500mm

Yes No

$23K Vol.

Mensalmente

Global

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

68%

Yes No

24%

Yes No

$3M Vol.

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

30%

chance

Yes

$332K Vol.

Natural Disaster in 2026?

25%

chance

Yes

$224K Vol.

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

85%

chance

Yes

$141K Vol.

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

10%

chance

Yes

$100K Vol.

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

<4m sq km

50%

Yes No

4.0-4.2m sq km

27%

Yes No

$56K Vol.

2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2nd hottest

97%

Yes No

1st hottest

Yes No

$42K Vol.

Mensalmente

June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.15–1.19ºC

68%

Yes No

1.10–1.14ºC

16%

Yes No

$21K Vol.

Mensalmente

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.10–1.14ºC

47%

Yes No

>1.29ºC

45%

Yes No

NOVO

Tornados

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

1250+

80%

Yes No

1200–1249

Yes No

$73K Vol.

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

100–129

31%

Yes No

160–189

30%

Yes No

NOVO

Mensalmente

Furacões

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

30%

chance

Yes

$332K Vol.

Natural Disaster in 2026?

25%

chance

Yes

$224K Vol.

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

15%

chance

Yes

$137K Vol.

Terremotos

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

14–16

36%

Yes No

11–13

31%

Yes No

$1M Vol.

Diariamente

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

66%

Yes No

21%

Yes No

$1M Vol.

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

chance

Yes

$645K Vol.

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

30%

chance

Yes

$332K Vol.

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

chance

Yes

$227K Vol.

Natural Disaster in 2026?

25%

chance

Yes

$224K Vol.

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

15%

chance

Yes

$137K Vol.

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)

≤8

51%

Yes No

36%

Yes No

$135K Vol.

Diariamente

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

10%

chance

Yes

$100K Vol.

Megaquake by June 30?

chance

Yes

$80K Vol.

Diariamente

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 15 - June 21?

72%

Yes No

18%

Yes No

$52K Vol.

Semanalmente

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 15 - June 21?

97%

Yes No

$33K Vol.

Semanalmente

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

15%

chance

Yes

$12K Vol.

Megaquake by July 31?

15%

chance

Yes

NOVO

Diariamente

Vulcões

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

66%

Yes No

21%

Yes No

$1M Vol.

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

10%

chance

Yes

$100K Vol.

Pandemias

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

chance

Yes

$16M Vol.

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

↑3k

80%

Yes No

↑4k

29%

Yes No

$8M Vol.

Mensalmente

New pandemic in 2026?

11%

chance

Yes

$764K Vol.

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

chance

Yes

$480K Vol.

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

22%

chance

Yes

$242K Vol.

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

chance

Yes

$121K Vol.

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

25%

chance

Yes

$72K Vol.

Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?

2150

37%

Yes No

2200

Yes No

$65K Vol.

Mensalmente

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

South Sudan

56%

Yes No

Kenya

Yes No

$16K Vol.

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

chance

Yes

$16K Vol.

Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

December 31

51%

Yes No

June 30

37%

Yes No

NOVO

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

October 31

52%

Yes No

August 30

51%

Yes No

NOVO

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 23, 2026?

85–90

99%

Yes No

80–85

Yes No

$7K Vol.

Semanalmente

Clima

Temperatura

Highest temperature in Madrid on June 21?

39°C

53%

Yes No

40°C

26%

Yes No

NOVO

$24K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in London on June 21?

30°C

35%

Yes No

29°C

31%

Yes No

NOVO

$23K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 21?

33°C

42%

Yes No

32°C

26%

Yes No

NOVO

$23K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Seoul on June 21?

27°C

31%

Yes No

28°C

23%

Yes No

NOVO

$22K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 21?

25°C

27%

Yes No

27°C

27%

Yes No

NOVO

$19K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Wellington on June 21?

16°C

43%

Yes No

17°C

35%

Yes No

NOVO

$16K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Paris on June 21?

37°C

37%

Yes No

36°C

32%

Yes No

NOVO

$15K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Singapore on June 21?

31°C

38%

Yes No

30°C

34%

Yes No

NOVO

$15K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 21?

28°C

33%

Yes No

27°C

27%

Yes No

NOVO

$15K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 21?

29°C

28%

Yes No

28°C

21%

Yes No

NOVO

$15K Vol.

Diariamente

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 21?

28°C

75%

Yes No

29°C

19%

Yes No

NOVO

$14K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 21?

25°C or below

57%

Yes No

26°C

23%

Yes No

NOVO

$13K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 21?

30°C or below

54%

Yes No

31°C

20%

Yes No

NOVO

$11K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Milan on June 21?

36°C

40%

Yes No

35°C

33%

Yes No

NOVO

$11K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Ankara on June 21?

26°C

36%

Yes No

25°C

35%

Yes No

NOVO

$11K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Taipei on June 21?

36°C

29%

Yes No

35°C

24%

Yes No

NOVO

$11K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 21?

32°C

29%

Yes No

33°C

28%

Yes No

NOVO

$11K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Beijing on June 21?

30°C

33%

Yes No

29°C

32%

Yes No

NOVO

$11K Vol.

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 21?

29°C

31%

Yes No

28°C

27%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 21?

35°C

32%

Yes No

36°C

29%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Helsinki on June 21?

26°C

36%

Yes No

25°C

23%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 21?

41°C

36%

Yes No

40°C

35%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on June 21?

32°C

36%

Yes No

31°C

35%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Busan on June 21?

29°C

37%

Yes No

28°C

33%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Jeddah on June 21?

36°C

34%

Yes No

37°C

31%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Manila on June 21?

34°C

38%

Yes No

35°C

29%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 21?

30°C

42%

Yes No

29°C

38%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 21?

27°C

38%

Yes No

28°C

33%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Munich on June 21?

33°C

39%

Yes No

34°C

27%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Lowest temperature in Paris on June 21?

20°C

35%

Yes No

21°C

30%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 21?

22°C

51%

Yes No

21°C

33%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 21?

19°C

35%

Yes No

20°C

33%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 21?

23°C

34%

Yes No

24°C

26%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 21?

30°C

32%

Yes No

31°C

26%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Karachi on June 21?

34°C

52%

Yes No

35°C

35%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 21?

26°C

31%

Yes No

25°C

31%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Chicago on June 21?

72-73°F

26%

Yes No

70-71°F

24%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Moscow on June 21?

24°C

33%

Yes No

23°C

32%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 21?

24°C

40%

Yes No

23°C

36%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Lowest temperature in London on June 21?

19°C

40%

Yes No

18°C

33%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Miami on June 21?

92-93°F

39%

Yes No

90-91°F

35%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in NYC on June 21?

84-85°F

34%

Yes No

82-83°F

33%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Atlanta on June 21?

88-89°F

31%

Yes No

86-87°F

29%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 21?

22°C

35%

Yes No

23°C

30%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Seattle on June 21?

78-79°F

33%

Yes No

80-81°F

25%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Lowest temperature in Miami on June 21?

78-79°F

34%

Yes No

80-81°F

33%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Toronto on June 21?

25°C

33%

Yes No

24°C

26%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 21?

15°C

37%

Yes No

14°C

32%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 21?

66-67°F

27%

Yes No

68-69°F

19%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Austin on June 21?

92-93°F

25%

Yes No

94-95°F

22%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Dallas on June 21?

92-93°F

35%

Yes No

94-95°F

24%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Houston on June 21?

90-91°F

33%

Yes No

88-89°F

22%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Lowest temperature in NYC on June 21?

68-69°F

35%

Yes No

66-67°F

37%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Denver on June 21?

88-89°F

24%

Yes No

90-91°F

21%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 21?

68-69°F

40%

Yes No

70-71°F

28%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Panama City on June 21?

31°C

31%

Yes No

30°C

26%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 21?

25°C

36%

Yes No

26°C

27%

Yes No

NOVO

Diariamente

Precipitação

Precipitation in Seattle in June?

1.5-2"

51%

Yes No

2.5-3"

44%

Yes No

NOVO

Mensalmente

Precipitation in London in June?

70-80mm

44%

Yes No

40-50mm

Yes No

NOVO

Mensalmente

Precipitation in NYC in June?

3-4"

Yes No

2-3"

27%

Yes No

NOVO

Mensalmente

Precipitation in Seoul in June?

160mm+

37%

Yes No

110-120mm

21%

Yes No

NOVO

Mensalmente

Precipitation in Hong Kong in June?

500mm+

100%

Yes No

475-500mm

Yes No

$23K Vol.

Mensalmente

Global

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

68%

Yes No

24%

Yes No

$3M Vol.

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

30%

chance

Yes

$332K Vol.

Natural Disaster in 2026?

25%

chance

Yes

$224K Vol.

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

85%

chance

Yes

$141K Vol.

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

10%

chance

Yes

$100K Vol.

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

<4m sq km

50%

Yes No

4.0-4.2m sq km

27%

Yes No

$56K Vol.

2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2nd hottest

97%

Yes No

1st hottest

Yes No

$42K Vol.

Mensalmente

June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.15–1.19ºC

68%

Yes No

1.10–1.14ºC

16%

Yes No

$21K Vol.

Mensalmente

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.10–1.14ºC

47%

Yes No

>1.29ºC

45%

Yes No

NOVO

Tornados

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

1250+

80%

Yes No

1200–1249

Yes No

$73K Vol.

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

100–129

31%

Yes No

160–189

30%

Yes No

NOVO

Mensalmente

Furacões

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

30%

chance

Yes

$332K Vol.

Natural Disaster in 2026?

25%

chance

Yes

$224K Vol.

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

15%

chance

Yes

$137K Vol.

Terremotos

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

14–16

36%

Yes No

11–13

31%

Yes No

$1M Vol.

Diariamente

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

66%

Yes No

21%

Yes No

$1M Vol.

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

chance

Yes

$645K Vol.

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

30%

chance

Yes

$332K Vol.

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

chance

Yes

$227K Vol.

Natural Disaster in 2026?

25%

chance

Yes

$224K Vol.

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

15%

chance

Yes

$137K Vol.

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)

≤8

51%

Yes No

36%

Yes No

$135K Vol.

Diariamente

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

10%

chance

Yes

$100K Vol.

Megaquake by June 30?

chance

Yes

$80K Vol.

Diariamente

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 15 - June 21?

72%

Yes No

18%

Yes No

$52K Vol.

Semanalmente

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 15 - June 21?

97%

Yes No

$33K Vol.

Semanalmente

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

15%

chance

Yes

$12K Vol.

Megaquake by July 31?

15%

chance

Yes

NOVO

Diariamente

Vulcões

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

66%

Yes No

21%

Yes No

$1M Vol.

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

10%

chance

Yes

$100K Vol.

Pandemias

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

chance

Yes

$16M Vol.

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

↑3k

80%

Yes No

↑4k

29%

Yes No

$8M Vol.

Mensalmente

New pandemic in 2026?

11%

chance

Yes

$764K Vol.

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

chance

Yes

$480K Vol.

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

22%

chance

Yes

$242K Vol.

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

chance

Yes

$121K Vol.

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

25%

chance

Yes

$72K Vol.

Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?

2150

37%

Yes No

2200

Yes No

$65K Vol.

Mensalmente

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

South Sudan

56%

Yes No

Kenya

Yes No

$16K Vol.

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

chance

Yes

$16K Vol.

Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

December 31

51%

Yes No

June 30

37%

Yes No

NOVO

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

October 31

52%

Yes No

August 30

51%

Yes No

NOVO

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 23, 2026?

85–90

99%

Yes No

80–85

Yes No

$7K Vol.

Semanalmente

Perguntas frequentes

Polymarket é o maior mercado de previsão do mundo, onde os usuários negociam com base nos resultados reais de eventos em Clima e muitos outros tópicos. Os preços são cotados de 0 a 100 centavos e refletem a probabilidade implícita de ocorrência de um evento. Como os traders investem dinheiro real em suas opiniões, as probabilidades do Polymarket representam um consenso em tempo real e direto, muitas vezes referido como a “sabedoria da multidão”.

Um mercado de previsão Clima permite que os usuários negociem ações Sim ou Não em uma questão específica vinculada a eventos relacionados a Clima, como "Highest temperature in Seoul on June 20?". Cada ação paga $ 1 se o resultado for a seu favor e $ 0 se não for. O preço atual das ações, por exemplo, 97% em "24°C", reflete a probabilidade implícita do mercado para esse resultado em qualquer momento.

A categoria Clima hospeda 189 mercados que cobrem uma ampla variedade de assuntos. As subcategorias populares incluem Temperatura, Terremotos e Pandemias, cada uma com sua própria página dedicada mostrando probabilidades ao vivo, volume de negociação e mercados ativos. Você pode navegar pela lista completa de subcategorias Clima na navegação do lado esquerdo da página Clima.

Cada mercado Clima no Polymarket tem resultados com preços entre 0¢ e 100¢. Esse preço é a probabilidade implícita de o resultado ocorrer. Por exemplo, se "24°C" está negociando a 97% em "Highest temperature in Seoul on June 20?", os traders estão precificando coletivamente aproximadamente essa probabilidade. Os preços são atualizados continuamente à medida que novas informações, lançamentos de dados e eventos movem o sentimento dos traders.

A atividade muda constantemente, mas você pode classificar a página por volume de 24 horas para ver onde a negociação está concentrada. Atualmente, "Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?" está entre os mercados mais negociados na página Clima, ao lado de outros mercados de alto volume, como "Highest temperature in Seoul on June 20?" e "Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 20?".

Cada mercado Clima tem uma fonte de resolução claramente definida e critérios publicados na página do mercado. Quando o evento termina, por exemplo, quando um resultado é divulgado oficialmente, um prazo expira ou uma fonte autorizada confirma o resultado, o mercado é resolvido e as ações vencedoras pagam US$ 1 cada. Os mercados em categorias como Eleições, Economia e Geopolítica normalmente dependem de relatórios oficiais do governo, reguladores ou de fontes primárias para resolução.

Clima os mercados respondem em tempo real a notícias, anúncios, divulgações de dados e mudanças políticas. Um único desenvolvimento, como uma nova sondagem, um indicador económico, uma decisão judicial ou um evento geopolítico, pode alterar materialmente a probabilidade implícita de um resultado. Olhando para mercados como "Highest temperature in Seoul on June 20?", os movimentos de preços refletem os comerciantes atualizando continuamente as suas opiniões à medida que novas informações chegam.

Atualmente, a Polymarket lista 189 mercados na categoria Clima. A navegação do lado esquerdo mostra contagens de mercado ao vivo para cada subcategoria disponível para que você possa ver rapidamente onde a cobertura é mais profunda.

Sim. A maioria dos mercados Clima são projetados para permitir que os usuários negociem bem antes do evento subjacente, desde mercados semanais de horizonte curto até mercados de longo prazo que cobrem resultados daqui a meses ou anos. Os exemplos listados atualmente incluem "Highest temperature in Seoul on June 20?" e "Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 20?", que permitem que os traders tomem posições à medida que novas informações surgem ao longo da vida do mercado.

Os mercados de previsão e as previsões tradicionais, como pesquisas, modelos ou estimativas de analistas, são ferramentas complementares. Como os traders do Polimercado estão a arriscar capital real, as probabilidades Clima agregam informações e incentivos de muitos participantes numa única probabilidade, um mecanismo que historicamente acompanhou de perto os resultados do mundo real em domínios como Eleições, Economia e Geopolítica. Dito isto, nenhum mercado é uma garantia; as probabilidades representam o consenso do trader em um determinado momento, e não uma previsão do que acontecerá.

Você pode navegar na página Clima para ver os mercados ativos, abrir qualquer mercado como "Highest temperature in Seoul on June 20?" para ver seu livro de pedidos e regras completas e, em seguida, negociar ações Sim ou Não assim que sua conta for financiada. A navegação do lado esquerdo facilita o detalhamento de subcategorias como Temperatura ou Terremotos para focar nos tópicos que você acompanha mais de perto.

Os mercados Clima são impulsionados pelos mesmos catalisadores que movem a história subjacente do mundo real: anúncios oficiais, eventos e prazos programados, dados e relatórios e notícias importantes. Para um mercado como "Highest temperature in Seoul on June 20?", observe as próximas datas, os lançamentos relacionados de Clima e as mudanças nos mercados mais amplos de Temperatura e Terremotos, todos os quais podem alterar a probabilidade implícita que os traders atribuem a cada resultado.

Cada cartão de mercado nas páginas Clima exibe a probabilidade implícita atual para cada resultado junto com o volume de negociação cumulativo ou de 24 horas. Para obter detalhes mais detalhados, incluindo histórico de preços, carteira de pedidos e regras completas de resolução, clique em qualquer mercado individual, como "Highest temperature in Seoul on June 20?" ou "Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?".