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Eleições·Eleições Globais

Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas

Market icon
Eleições·Eleições Globais

Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas

Édouard Philippe 28%

Jordan Bardella 20%

Marine Le Pen 9%

David Lisnard 7.5%

Polymarket

$30,503,161 Vol.

Édouard Philippe 28%

Jordan Bardella 20%

Marine Le Pen 9%

David Lisnard 7.5%

Polymarket

$30,503,161 Vol.

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Édouard Philippe

$438,598 Vol.

28%

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Jordan Bardella

$642,462 Vol.

20%

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Marine Le Pen

$330,681 Vol.

9%

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David Lisnard

$749,039 Vol.

8%

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Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$244,543 Vol.

7%

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Dominique de Villepin

$855,886 Vol.

5%

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Raphaël Glucksmann

$494,971 Vol.

3%

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François Hollande

$586,935 Vol.

3%

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Sarah Knafo

$1,006,259 Vol.

3%

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Bruno Retailleau

$930,356 Vol.

2%

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Gabriel Attal

$862,078 Vol.

2%

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Gérald Darmanin

$335,831 Vol.

1%

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François Ruffin

$327,644 Vol.

1%

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Sébastien Lecornu

$637,523 Vol.

1%

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Éric Zemmour

$361,859 Vol.

1%

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Jean Castex

$474,229 Vol.

1%

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Clémentine Autain

$1,841,500 Vol.

1%

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Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,333,213 Vol.

1%

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Clémence Guetté

$1,642,464 Vol.

1%

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Laurent Wauquiez

$375,378 Vol.

1%

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François Asselineau

$1,690,998 Vol.

1%

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Élisabeth Borne

$1,559,772 Vol.

1%

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Juan Branco

$286,751 Vol.

1%

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Marine Tondelier

$412,260 Vol.

1%

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François Bayrou

$1,596,337 Vol.

1%

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Valérie Pécresse

$1,112,454 Vol.

<1%

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Manuel Bompard

$1,015,864 Vol.

<1%

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Xavier Bertrand

$826,267 Vol.

<1%

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Olivier Faure

$886,508 Vol.

<1%

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Ségolène Royal

$1,046,374 Vol.

<1%

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Michel Barnier

$1,081,057 Vol.

<1%

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Bernard Cazeneuve

$335,405 Vol.

<1%

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Fabien Roussel

$1,065,226 Vol.

<1%

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Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,276,261 Vol.

<1%

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Mathilde Panot

$1,103,431 Vol.

<1%

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Carole Delga

$739,712 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent polls following France's March 2026 municipal elections show Jordan Bardella leading first-round voting intentions for the 2027 presidential election at 34-38%, with Édouard Philippe at 18-25.5% and qualifying for a runoff, where Philippe narrowly prevails 51-52% against Bardella's 48% according to Elabe and Odoxa surveys. Philippe's reelection as Le Havre mayor has bolstered his center-right momentum as a credible far-right barrier, reflected in trader consensus pricing him highest despite the fragmented field and Bardella's Rassemblement National strength. The race remains tight amid uncertain candidate selection—Republicans favor Bruno Retailleau, Macronists weigh Gabriel Attal versus Philippe, and the left splinters—pending party primaries, potential alliances, and Marine Le Pen's July appeal on her candidacy ban.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$30,503,161
Data de Término
30 abr 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent polls following France's March 2026 municipal elections show Jordan Bardella leading first-round voting intentions for the 2027 presidential election at 34-38%, with Édouard Philippe at 18-25.5% and qualifying for a runoff, where Philippe narrowly prevails 51-52% against Bardella's 48% according to Elabe and Odoxa surveys. Philippe's reelection as Le Havre mayor has bolstered his center-right momentum as a credible far-right barrier, reflected in trader consensus pricing him highest despite the fragmented field and Bardella's Rassemblement National strength. The race remains tight amid uncertain candidate selection—Republicans favor Bruno Retailleau, Macronists weigh Gabriel Attal versus Philippe, and the left splinters—pending party primaries, potential alliances, and Marine Le Pen's July appeal on her candidacy ban.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$30,503,161
Data de Término
30 abr 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Édouard Philippe" at 28%, followed by "Jordan Bardella" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" has generated $30.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" is "Édouard Philippe" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jordan Bardella" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.