US-Israeli airstrikes on Iran persist nearly a month after the February 28 launch of Operation Epic Fury, with Israel conducting fresh attacks on Tehran and other sites in the past 24 hours, targeting ballistic missile facilities, nuclear infrastructure, and energy assets. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio indicated the war could conclude within weeks due to over 10,000 strikes degrading Iran's military, while President Trump extended a 10-day pause on energy sector hits and claimed Iran seeks a deal amid its review of a US 15-point proposal, which Tehran deems unreasonable. Yemen's first strikes signal proxy escalation risks, but trader sentiment hinges on diplomatic breakthroughs versus vows to intensify operations before any Strait of Hormuz reopening deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMilitary action against Iran ends by...?
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$177,995 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
March 29
2%
March 30
3%
March 31
5%
15 de abril
23%
30 de abril
57%
31 de maio
78%
30 de junho
78%
$177,995 Vol.
March 29
$21,116 Vol.
2%
March 30
$17,019 Vol.
3%
March 31
$77,413 Vol.
5%
15 de abril
$1,645 Vol.
23%
30 de abril
$235 Vol.
57%
31 de maio
$1,544 Vol.
78%
30 de junho
$5 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US-Israeli airstrikes on Iran persist nearly a month after the February 28 launch of Operation Epic Fury, with Israel conducting fresh attacks on Tehran and other sites in the past 24 hours, targeting ballistic missile facilities, nuclear infrastructure, and energy assets. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio indicated the war could conclude within weeks due to over 10,000 strikes degrading Iran's military, while President Trump extended a 10-day pause on energy sector hits and claimed Iran seeks a deal amid its review of a US 15-point proposal, which Tehran deems unreasonable. Yemen's first strikes signal proxy escalation risks, but trader sentiment hinges on diplomatic breakthroughs versus vows to intensify operations before any Strait of Hormuz reopening deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Volume
$177,995Data de Término
Jun 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US-Israeli airstrikes on Iran persist nearly a month after the February 28 launch of Operation Epic Fury, with Israel conducting fresh attacks on Tehran and other sites in the past 24 hours, targeting ballistic missile facilities, nuclear infrastructure, and energy assets. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio indicated the war could conclude within weeks due to over 10,000 strikes degrading Iran's military, while President Trump extended a 10-day pause on energy sector hits and claimed Iran seeks a deal amid its review of a US 15-point proposal, which Tehran deems unreasonable. Yemen's first strikes signal proxy escalation risks, but trader sentiment hinges on diplomatic breakthroughs versus vows to intensify operations before any Strait of Hormuz reopening deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$177,995Data de Término
Jun 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Israeli airstrikes on Iran persist nearly a month after the February 28 launch of Operation Epic Fury, with Israel conducting fresh attacks on Tehran and other sites in the past 24 hours, targeting ballistic missile facilities, nuclear infrastructure, and energy assets. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio indicated the war could conclude within weeks due to over 10,000 strikes degrading Iran's military, while President Trump extended a 10-day pause on energy sector hits and claimed Iran seeks a deal amid its review of a US 15-point proposal, which Tehran deems unreasonable. Yemen's first strikes signal proxy escalation risks, but trader sentiment hinges on diplomatic breakthroughs versus vows to intensify operations before any Strait of Hormuz reopening deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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