Israel's airstrikes on October 26 targeted Iranian military sites, including missile production facilities, in retaliation for Tehran's October 1 barrage of some 200 missiles against Israel; both nations have since signaled de-escalation, with Iran's Supreme Leader stating no further response if attacks halt and Israeli officials describing the operation as limited and concluded. No additional strikes or major military actions against Iran have occurred in the past week, amid U.S. diplomatic pressure for restraint ahead of the November 5 presidential election, which could shift Washington’s Israel support and regional dynamics. Ongoing proxy conflicts via Hezbollah and Houthis persist but do not constitute direct action against Iran itself, leaving traders focused on diplomatic signals and potential escalation triggers like renewed missile exchanges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMilitary action against Iran ends by...?
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$165,469 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
March 26
<1%
March 27
<1%
March 28
1%
March 29
3%
March 30
3%
March 31
4%
15 de abril
29%
30 de abril
54%
31 de maio
69%
30 de junho
76%
$165,469 Vol.
March 26
$20,013 Vol.
<1%
March 27
$14,521 Vol.
<1%
March 28
$15,839 Vol.
1%
March 29
$20,070 Vol.
3%
March 30
$17,017 Vol.
3%
March 31
$76,335 Vol.
4%
15 de abril
$564 Vol.
29%
30 de abril
$17 Vol.
54%
31 de maio
$1,088 Vol.
69%
30 de junho
$2 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel's airstrikes on October 26 targeted Iranian military sites, including missile production facilities, in retaliation for Tehran's October 1 barrage of some 200 missiles against Israel; both nations have since signaled de-escalation, with Iran's Supreme Leader stating no further response if attacks halt and Israeli officials describing the operation as limited and concluded. No additional strikes or major military actions against Iran have occurred in the past week, amid U.S. diplomatic pressure for restraint ahead of the November 5 presidential election, which could shift Washington’s Israel support and regional dynamics. Ongoing proxy conflicts via Hezbollah and Houthis persist but do not constitute direct action against Iran itself, leaving traders focused on diplomatic signals and potential escalation triggers like renewed missile exchanges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Volume
$165,469Data de Término
Jun 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel's airstrikes on October 26 targeted Iranian military sites, including missile production facilities, in retaliation for Tehran's October 1 barrage of some 200 missiles against Israel; both nations have since signaled de-escalation, with Iran's Supreme Leader stating no further response if attacks halt and Israeli officials describing the operation as limited and concluded. No additional strikes or major military actions against Iran have occurred in the past week, amid U.S. diplomatic pressure for restraint ahead of the November 5 presidential election, which could shift Washington’s Israel support and regional dynamics. Ongoing proxy conflicts via Hezbollah and Houthis persist but do not constitute direct action against Iran itself, leaving traders focused on diplomatic signals and potential escalation triggers like renewed missile exchanges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$165,469Data de Término
Jun 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel's airstrikes on October 26 targeted Iranian military sites, including missile production facilities, in retaliation for Tehran's October 1 barrage of some 200 missiles against Israel; both nations have since signaled de-escalation, with Iran's Supreme Leader stating no further response if attacks halt and Israeli officials describing the operation as limited and concluded. No additional strikes or major military actions against Iran have occurred in the past week, amid U.S. diplomatic pressure for restraint ahead of the November 5 presidential election, which could shift Washington’s Israel support and regional dynamics. Ongoing proxy conflicts via Hezbollah and Houthis persist but do not constitute direct action against Iran itself, leaving traders focused on diplomatic signals and potential escalation triggers like renewed missile exchanges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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