US and Israeli forces continue Operation Epic Fury airstrikes against Iranian nuclear sites, missile factories, and defense infrastructure a month after launching on February 28, 2026, with the latest reported strikes on March 27 targeting production facilities to degrade Tehran's drone and ballistic missile capabilities. Iran has retaliated via over 80 waves of missile and drone attacks on Israel, US bases in the region, Saudi Arabia, and UAE assets, including a Houthi-claimed missile toward Israel intercepted on March 29. No ceasefire negotiations or de-escalation signals have emerged, sustaining trader consensus on prolonged conflict amid closed Strait of Hormuz and persistent escalations; key watchpoints include potential regime internal fractures or diplomatic interventions by Gulf states.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMilitary action against Iran ends by...?
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$23,725 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
April 1
5%
April 2
5%
April 3
9%
April 4
11%
April 5
11%
April 6
11%
April 7
29%
April 8
39%
April 9
36%
April 10
22%
April 11
40%
April 12
40%
April 13
41%
April 14
13%
April 15
40%
April 16
41%
April 17
41%
April 18
41%
April 19
41%
April 20
41%
April 21
41%
April 22
41%
April 23
41%
April 24
41%
April 25
44%
April 26
41%
April 27
42%
April 28
42%
April 29
39%
April 30
44%
$23,725 Vol.
April 1
$25 Vol.
5%
April 2
$165 Vol.
5%
April 3
$0 Vol.
9%
April 4
$0 Vol.
11%
April 5
$0 Vol.
11%
April 6
$6 Vol.
11%
April 7
$0 Vol.
29%
April 8
$1 Vol.
39%
April 9
$2,763 Vol.
36%
April 10
$0 Vol.
22%
April 11
$0 Vol.
40%
April 12
$0 Vol.
40%
April 13
$0 Vol.
41%
April 14
$3,343 Vol.
13%
April 15
$0 Vol.
40%
April 16
$0 Vol.
41%
April 17
$0 Vol.
41%
April 18
$0 Vol.
41%
April 19
$0 Vol.
41%
April 20
$0 Vol.
41%
April 21
$0 Vol.
41%
April 22
$0 Vol.
41%
April 23
$0 Vol.
41%
April 24
$0 Vol.
41%
April 25
$2,740 Vol.
44%
April 26
$0 Vol.
41%
April 27
$0 Vol.
42%
April 28
$0 Vol.
42%
April 29
$0 Vol.
39%
April 30
$14,681 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces continue Operation Epic Fury airstrikes against Iranian nuclear sites, missile factories, and defense infrastructure a month after launching on February 28, 2026, with the latest reported strikes on March 27 targeting production facilities to degrade Tehran's drone and ballistic missile capabilities. Iran has retaliated via over 80 waves of missile and drone attacks on Israel, US bases in the region, Saudi Arabia, and UAE assets, including a Houthi-claimed missile toward Israel intercepted on March 29. No ceasefire negotiations or de-escalation signals have emerged, sustaining trader consensus on prolonged conflict amid closed Strait of Hormuz and persistent escalations; key watchpoints include potential regime internal fractures or diplomatic interventions by Gulf states.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 27, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$23,725Data de Término
Apr 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces continue Operation Epic Fury airstrikes against Iranian nuclear sites, missile factories, and defense infrastructure a month after launching on February 28, 2026, with the latest reported strikes on March 27 targeting production facilities to degrade Tehran's drone and ballistic missile capabilities. Iran has retaliated via over 80 waves of missile and drone attacks on Israel, US bases in the region, Saudi Arabia, and UAE assets, including a Houthi-claimed missile toward Israel intercepted on March 29. No ceasefire negotiations or de-escalation signals have emerged, sustaining trader consensus on prolonged conflict amid closed Strait of Hormuz and persistent escalations; key watchpoints include potential regime internal fractures or diplomatic interventions by Gulf states.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$23,725Data de Término
Apr 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israeli forces continue Operation Epic Fury airstrikes against Iranian nuclear sites, missile factories, and defense infrastructure a month after launching on February 28, 2026, with the latest reported strikes on March 27 targeting production facilities to degrade Tehran's drone and ballistic missile capabilities. Iran has retaliated via over 80 waves of missile and drone attacks on Israel, US bases in the region, Saudi Arabia, and UAE assets, including a Houthi-claimed missile toward Israel intercepted on March 29. No ceasefire negotiations or de-escalation signals have emerged, sustaining trader consensus on prolonged conflict amid closed Strait of Hormuz and persistent escalations; key watchpoints include potential regime internal fractures or diplomatic interventions by Gulf states.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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