Market icon
Política·Mayor

Eleição para Prefeito de Los Angeles

Market icon
Política·Mayor

Eleição para Prefeito de Los Angeles

Nithya Raman 46%

Karen Bass 30%

Spencer Pratt 13%

Rae Huang 6.9%

Polymarket

$785,786 Vol.

Nithya Raman 46%

Karen Bass 30%

Spencer Pratt 13%

Rae Huang 6.9%

Polymarket

$785,786 Vol.

Market icon

Nithya Raman

$5,859 Vol.

46%

Market icon

Karen Bass

$22,740 Vol.

30%

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Spencer Pratt

$82,571 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Rae Huang

$36,572 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Adam Miller

$83,300 Vol.

3%

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Rick Caruso

$424,796 Vol.

1%

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Gina Viola

$76,299 Vol.

1%

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Austin Beutner

$6,244 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Asaad Alnajjar

$28,564 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Monica Rodriguez

$3,012 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Lindsey Horvath

$15,832 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.A controversial Loyola Marymount University poll released March 30 positions City Councilmember Nithya Raman as the frontrunner in the Los Angeles mayoral race at 33%, well ahead of incumbent Mayor Karen Bass at 17%, driving trader consensus to price Raman at 45.5% for the June 2 nonpartisan primary. Bass trails amid persistently low approval ratings—highlighted in a March 22 LA Times/Berkeley IGS poll showing her at 25% with 56% unfavorable views—stemming from ongoing challenges like homelessness and public safety. Reality TV personality Spencer Pratt garners 12.5% odds buoyed by media buzz and post-wildfire activism, while Rae Huang and Adam Miller linger lower amid a crowded 14-candidate field and high undecided rates. Top-two advance to November if no majority; upcoming debates could shift dynamics.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volume
$785,786
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.A controversial Loyola Marymount University poll released March 30 positions City Councilmember Nithya Raman as the frontrunner in the Los Angeles mayoral race at 33%, well ahead of incumbent Mayor Karen Bass at 17%, driving trader consensus to price Raman at 45.5% for the June 2 nonpartisan primary. Bass trails amid persistently low approval ratings—highlighted in a March 22 LA Times/Berkeley IGS poll showing her at 25% with 56% unfavorable views—stemming from ongoing challenges like homelessness and public safety. Reality TV personality Spencer Pratt garners 12.5% odds buoyed by media buzz and post-wildfire activism, while Rae Huang and Adam Miller linger lower amid a crowded 14-candidate field and high undecided rates. Top-two advance to November if no majority; upcoming debates could shift dynamics.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volume
$785,786
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para Prefeito de Los Angeles" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nithya Raman" at 46%, followed by "Karen Bass" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eleição para Prefeito de Los Angeles" has generated $785.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eleição para Prefeito de Los Angeles," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para Prefeito de Los Angeles" is "Nithya Raman" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Karen Bass" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para Prefeito de Los Angeles" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.