Market icon
Política·Trump

Kevin Warsh confirmado como Presidente do Fed por...?

Market icon
Política·Trump

Kevin Warsh confirmado como Presidente do Fed por...?

$409,036 Vol.

May 15, 2026
Polymarket

$409,036 Vol.

Polymarket

1º de maio

$277,586 Vol.

11%

15 de maio

$131,450 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump formally nominated former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair on March 4, 2026, positioning him to succeed Jerome Powell whose term expires May 15. The nomination faces hurdles from Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC), who is blocking Senate Banking Committee advancement until a DOJ probe into Powell resolves; a federal judge quashed related subpoenas on March 13 amid DOJ appeal plans. Warsh met Tillis on March 10, earning praise but no concession. Capitol Hill polling shows most staffers expect confirmation with GOP Senate majority, though Banking Democrats remain divided on meetings. Traders weigh committee hearing scheduling, probe outcome, and floor vote timeline before the deadline.

President Trump formally nominated former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair on March 4, 2026, positioning him to succeed Jerome Powell whose term expires May 15. The nomination faces hurdles from Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC), who is blocking Senate Banking Committee advancement until a DOJ probe into Powell resolves; a federal judge quashed related subpoenas on March 13 amid DOJ appeal plans. Warsh met Tillis on March 10, earning praise but no concession. Capitol Hill polling shows most staffers expect confirmation with GOP Senate majority, though Banking Democrats remain divided on meetings. Traders weigh committee hearing scheduling, probe outcome, and floor vote timeline before the deadline.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump formally nominated former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair on March 4, 2026, positioning him to succeed Jerome Powell whose term expires May 15. The nomination faces hurdles from Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC), who is blocking Senate Banking Committee advancement until a DOJ probe into Powell resolves; a federal judge quashed related subpoenas on March 13 amid DOJ appeal plans. Warsh met Tillis on March 10, earning praise but no concession. Capitol Hill polling shows most staffers expect confirmation with GOP Senate majority, though Banking Democrats remain divided on meetings. Traders weigh committee hearing scheduling, probe outcome, and floor vote timeline before the deadline.

President Trump formally nominated former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair on March 4, 2026, positioning him to succeed Jerome Powell whose term expires May 15. The nomination faces hurdles from Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC), who is blocking Senate Banking Committee advancement until a DOJ probe into Powell resolves; a federal judge quashed related subpoenas on March 13 amid DOJ appeal plans. Warsh met Tillis on March 10, earning praise but no concession. Capitol Hill polling shows most staffers expect confirmation with GOP Senate majority, though Banking Democrats remain divided on meetings. Traders weigh committee hearing scheduling, probe outcome, and floor vote timeline before the deadline.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Kevin Warsh confirmado como Presidente do Fed por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "15 de maio" at 50%, followed by "1º de maio" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kevin Warsh confirmado como Presidente do Fed por...?" has generated $409K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kevin Warsh confirmado como Presidente do Fed por...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kevin Warsh confirmado como Presidente do Fed por...?" is "15 de maio" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1º de maio" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kevin Warsh confirmado como Presidente do Fed por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.