Houthi rebels in Yemen, backed by Iran, launched a ballistic missile toward Israel on December 28, 2024, intercepted by the IDF's Arrow system, heightening escalation risks in the Red Sea corridor. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu vowed a forceful response, echoing patterns of prior IDF airstrikes on Houthi ports and military sites, including major hits on Hodeidah in July and subsequent targets through October. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether Israel will conduct fresh military action before the market's resolution date, amid US-led coalition strikes on Houthis, stalled Gaza ceasefire talks, and diplomatic pressures to contain broader regional conflict. Key watchpoints include Houthi retaliation threats and any IDF announcements in the coming days.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAção militar de Israel contra o Iémen por...?
Ação militar de Israel contra o Iémen por...?
$664,596 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
31 de março
12%
30 de abril
30%
30 de junho
55%
31 de maio
55%
$664,596 Vol.
31 de março
$301,544 Vol.
12%
30 de abril
$7,337 Vol.
30%
30 de junho
$328,563 Vol.
55%
31 de maio
$27,152 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Houthi rebels in Yemen, backed by Iran, launched a ballistic missile toward Israel on December 28, 2024, intercepted by the IDF's Arrow system, heightening escalation risks in the Red Sea corridor. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu vowed a forceful response, echoing patterns of prior IDF airstrikes on Houthi ports and military sites, including major hits on Hodeidah in July and subsequent targets through October. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether Israel will conduct fresh military action before the market's resolution date, amid US-led coalition strikes on Houthis, stalled Gaza ceasefire talks, and diplomatic pressures to contain broader regional conflict. Key watchpoints include Houthi retaliation threats and any IDF announcements in the coming days.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 6, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
Volume
$664,596Data de Término
Jun 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 6, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Houthi rebels in Yemen, backed by Iran, launched a ballistic missile toward Israel on December 28, 2024, intercepted by the IDF's Arrow system, heightening escalation risks in the Red Sea corridor. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu vowed a forceful response, echoing patterns of prior IDF airstrikes on Houthi ports and military sites, including major hits on Hodeidah in July and subsequent targets through October. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether Israel will conduct fresh military action before the market's resolution date, amid US-led coalition strikes on Houthis, stalled Gaza ceasefire talks, and diplomatic pressures to contain broader regional conflict. Key watchpoints include Houthi retaliation threats and any IDF announcements in the coming days.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$664,596Data de Término
Jun 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 6, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Houthi rebels in Yemen, backed by Iran, launched a ballistic missile toward Israel on December 28, 2024, intercepted by the IDF's Arrow system, heightening escalation risks in the Red Sea corridor. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu vowed a forceful response, echoing patterns of prior IDF airstrikes on Houthi ports and military sites, including major hits on Hodeidah in July and subsequent targets through October. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether Israel will conduct fresh military action before the market's resolution date, amid US-led coalition strikes on Houthis, stalled Gaza ceasefire talks, and diplomatic pressures to contain broader regional conflict. Key watchpoints include Houthi retaliation threats and any IDF announcements in the coming days.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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