Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis launched a ballistic missile at southern Israel on March 28, 2026—the first such attack since the US-Israel war on Iran began—prompting interception by Israeli defenses and raising expectations of retaliation. This escalation follows weeks of Houthi threats to intervene militarily if allies faced aggression, amid broader regional tensions including prior Houthi Red Sea disruptions. Israel has a history of responding to Houthi strikes with airstrikes on Yemen targets like Sanaa airport and Hodeidah port, as seen in 2025 operations. No Israeli action against Yemen reported yet, but traders monitor for strikes before key dates like March 31, with potential for further de-escalation signals or diplomatic moves influencing outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAção militar de Israel contra o Iémen por...?
Ação militar de Israel contra o Iémen por...?
$770,155 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
31 de março
55%
30 de abril
84%
30 de junho
91%
31 de maio
89%
$770,155 Vol.
31 de março
$366,847 Vol.
55%
30 de abril
$17,069 Vol.
84%
30 de junho
$353,945 Vol.
91%
31 de maio
$32,640 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis launched a ballistic missile at southern Israel on March 28, 2026—the first such attack since the US-Israel war on Iran began—prompting interception by Israeli defenses and raising expectations of retaliation. This escalation follows weeks of Houthi threats to intervene militarily if allies faced aggression, amid broader regional tensions including prior Houthi Red Sea disruptions. Israel has a history of responding to Houthi strikes with airstrikes on Yemen targets like Sanaa airport and Hodeidah port, as seen in 2025 operations. No Israeli action against Yemen reported yet, but traders monitor for strikes before key dates like March 31, with potential for further de-escalation signals or diplomatic moves influencing outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 18, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Volume
$770,155Data de Término
Jun 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 18, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis launched a ballistic missile at southern Israel on March 28, 2026—the first such attack since the US-Israel war on Iran began—prompting interception by Israeli defenses and raising expectations of retaliation. This escalation follows weeks of Houthi threats to intervene militarily if allies faced aggression, amid broader regional tensions including prior Houthi Red Sea disruptions. Israel has a history of responding to Houthi strikes with airstrikes on Yemen targets like Sanaa airport and Hodeidah port, as seen in 2025 operations. No Israeli action against Yemen reported yet, but traders monitor for strikes before key dates like March 31, with potential for further de-escalation signals or diplomatic moves influencing outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$770,155Data de Término
Jun 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 18, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis launched a ballistic missile at southern Israel on March 28, 2026—the first such attack since the US-Israel war on Iran began—prompting interception by Israeli defenses and raising expectations of retaliation. This escalation follows weeks of Houthi threats to intervene militarily if allies faced aggression, amid broader regional tensions including prior Houthi Red Sea disruptions. Israel has a history of responding to Houthi strikes with airstrikes on Yemen targets like Sanaa airport and Hodeidah port, as seen in 2025 operations. No Israeli action against Yemen reported yet, but traders monitor for strikes before key dates like March 31, with potential for further de-escalation signals or diplomatic moves influencing outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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