Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 48.5% probability for Singapore's highest temperature reaching 33°C on March 26, closely trailed by 32°C at 30%, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecasts projecting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 30s amid the inter-monsoon period's characteristic heat and humidity. Equatorial conditions, featuring light winds, low cloud cover, and the urban heat island effect in a densely built environment, typically push March maxima to 31–34°C, aligning with historical averages of around 32°C. Recent NEA advisories note minimal rainfall expected, sustaining heat buildup, though model ensembles indicate slight uncertainty from potential afternoon thundershowers. Updated observations and twice-daily forecasts from NEA will refine trader positioning ahead of the date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
33°C 47%
32°C 34%
34°C 16%
35°C 2.7%
$63,769 Vol.
$63,769 Vol.
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
34%
33°C
47%
34°C
16%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 47%
32°C 34%
34°C 16%
35°C 2.7%
$63,769 Vol.
$63,769 Vol.
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
34%
33°C
47%
34°C
16%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 48.5% probability for Singapore's highest temperature reaching 33°C on March 26, closely trailed by 32°C at 30%, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecasts projecting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 30s amid the inter-monsoon period's characteristic heat and humidity. Equatorial conditions, featuring light winds, low cloud cover, and the urban heat island effect in a densely built environment, typically push March maxima to 31–34°C, aligning with historical averages of around 32°C. Recent NEA advisories note minimal rainfall expected, sustaining heat buildup, though model ensembles indicate slight uncertainty from potential afternoon thundershowers. Updated observations and twice-daily forecasts from NEA will refine trader positioning ahead of the date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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