Latest ECMWF and Italian meteorological service ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on March 29 at 17–18°C—aligning with trader consensus at 28.5% and 26.5% implied probabilities—under a persistent high-pressure ridge advecting mild continental air amid light southerly flow. Key differentiators include model disagreements on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover: GFS ensembles favor 16–17°C with potential afternoon stratus, while ICON runs suggest 18–19°C if insolation dominates. Historical March highs average 13°C, highlighting this mild anomaly but capping extremes due to shear and diurnal limits. Spring forecast uncertainty persists; overnight model updates and Linate Airport observations will sharpen resolution criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 29 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 29 de março?
17°C 29%
18°C 27%
19°C 17%
16°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Mar 29, 2026
12°C ou menos
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
7%
16°C
12%
17°C
29%
18°C
27%
19°C
17%
20°C
5%
21°C
4%
22°C ou mais
2%
17°C 29%
18°C 27%
19°C 17%
16°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Mar 29, 2026
12°C ou menos
$1,184 Vol.
1%
13°C
$386 Vol.
2%
14°C
$96 Vol.
4%
15°C
$110 Vol.
7%
16°C
$126 Vol.
12%
17°C
$397 Vol.
29%
18°C
$235 Vol.
27%
19°C
$177 Vol.
17%
20°C
$119 Vol.
5%
21°C
$162 Vol.
4%
22°C ou mais
$264 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and Italian meteorological service ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on March 29 at 17–18°C—aligning with trader consensus at 28.5% and 26.5% implied probabilities—under a persistent high-pressure ridge advecting mild continental air amid light southerly flow. Key differentiators include model disagreements on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover: GFS ensembles favor 16–17°C with potential afternoon stratus, while ICON runs suggest 18–19°C if insolation dominates. Historical March highs average 13°C, highlighting this mild anomaly but capping extremes due to shear and diurnal limits. Spring forecast uncertainty persists; overnight model updates and Linate Airport observations will sharpen resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Volume
$3,255Data de Término
Mar 29, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and Italian meteorological service ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on March 29 at 17–18°C—aligning with trader consensus at 28.5% and 26.5% implied probabilities—under a persistent high-pressure ridge advecting mild continental air amid light southerly flow. Key differentiators include model disagreements on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover: GFS ensembles favor 16–17°C with potential afternoon stratus, while ICON runs suggest 18–19°C if insolation dominates. Historical March highs average 13°C, highlighting this mild anomaly but capping extremes due to shear and diurnal limits. Spring forecast uncertainty persists; overnight model updates and Linate Airport observations will sharpen resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,255Data de Término
Mar 29, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and Italian meteorological service ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on March 29 at 17–18°C—aligning with trader consensus at 28.5% and 26.5% implied probabilities—under a persistent high-pressure ridge advecting mild continental air amid light southerly flow. Key differentiators include model disagreements on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover: GFS ensembles favor 16–17°C with potential afternoon stratus, while ICON runs suggest 18–19°C if insolation dominates. Historical March highs average 13°C, highlighting this mild anomaly but capping extremes due to shear and diurnal limits. Spring forecast uncertainty persists; overnight model updates and Linate Airport observations will sharpen resolution criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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